Sport Picks
Match Events
12'
12'
Sano K.
14'
14'
Casemiro
29'
29'
Sano K.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-1, with Brazil advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Brazil
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Japan come out ahead of Brazil on wins alone.
- 39% — that's where the model lands on Brazil taking it.
- Japan arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Brazil, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Brazil have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Brazil Clean Sheet 68%
Japan Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Brazil | Japan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 19 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.89 | 2.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.96 | 0.54 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 29, 2026 World Championship
Brazil vs Japan
2:1
Oct 14, 2025 Friendly International
Japan vs Brazil
3:2
Jun 6, 2022 Friendly International
Japan vs Brazil
0:1
Nov 10, 2017 Friendly International
Japan vs Brazil
1:3
Oct 14, 2014 Friendly International
Japan vs Brazil
0:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Brazil Compare
Top Goalscorer Casemiro
1 Goals Assists Leader Martinelli G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Japan Compare
Top Goalscorer Sano K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Brazil 59 / 100
Japan 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Brazil Japan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Brazil Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Brazil scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Brazil went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Japan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 36% of 28 matches.
Scoring Trends
Brazil VS Japan
2.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Brazil
(Home) 05 Jul
Brazil
1 : 2 Norway
29 Jun
Brazil
2 : 1 Japan
24 Jun
Scotland
0 : 3 Brazil
20 Jun
Brazil
3 : 0 Haiti
13 Jun
Brazil
1 : 1 Morocco
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05 Jul
Brazil
1 : 2 Norway
29 Jun
Brazil
2 : 1 Japan
20 Jun
Brazil
3 : 0 Haiti
13 Jun
Brazil
1 : 1 Morocco
06 Jun
Brazil
2 : 1 Egypt
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Japan
(Away) 29 Jun
Brazil
2 : 1 Japan
25 Jun
Japan
1 : 1 Sweden
21 Jun
Tunisia
0 : 4 Japan
14 Jun
Netherlands
2 : 2 Japan
31 May
Japan
1 : 0 Iceland
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29 Jun
Brazil
2 : 1 Japan
21 Jun
Tunisia
0 : 4 Japan
14 Jun
Netherlands
2 : 2 Japan
31 Mar
England
0 : 1 Japan
28 Mar
Scotland
0 : 1 Japan
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Germany 1
Paraguay 2
France 3
Sweden 0
South Africa 0
Canada 1
Netherlands 1
Morocco 2
Portugal 2
Croatia 1
Spain 3
Austria 0
USA 2
Bosnia & Herzegovina 0
Belgium 3
Senegal 2
Brazil 2
Japan 1
Ivory Coast 1
Norway 2
Mexico 2
Ecuador 0
England 2
D.R. Congo 1
Argentina 3
Cape Verde 2
Australia 1
Egypt 2
Switzerland 2
Algeria 0
Colombia 1
Ghana 0
1/8-finals
Paraguay 0
France 1
Canada 0
Morocco 3
Portugal 0
Spain 1
USA 1
Belgium 4
Brazil 1
Norway 2
Mexico 2
England 3
Argentina 3
Egypt 2
Switzerland 1
Colombia 0
Quarter-finals
France 2
Morocco 0
Spain 2
Belgium 1
Norway 1
England 2
Argentina 3
Switzerland 1
Semi-finals
France 0
Spain 2
England 1
Argentina 2
Final
Spain 1
Argentina 0
France 4
England 6
