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Brazil vs Senegal

World World

Friendly International 2025 Emirates Stadium, London
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Estêvão
35' Event
Casemiro
Assist: Rodrygo
49'
Sub
Sarr P. M. In: Jackson N.
Out: Sarr P. M.

AI Match Summary

Brazil in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Brazil.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Brazil
20%
Draws
23%
Senegal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Brazil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Senegal have won more games recently than Brazil.
  • Win probability leans Brazil's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Brazil Clean Sheet 20%
Senegal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brazil Senegal
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 15 17
Draws 8 5
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.8 2
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2025 Friendly International
Brazil vs Senegal
2:0
Jun 20, 2023 Friendly International
Brazil vs Senegal
2:4
Oct 10, 2019 Friendly International
Brazil vs Senegal
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brazil Compare

Top Goalscorer Estêvão
1 Goals
Assists Leader Casemiro
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Senegal Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brazil 85 / 100
Senegal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brazil Senegal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brazil Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brazil's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Brazil stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Senegal's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Brazil VS Senegal
2.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Brazil

(Home)
05 Jul
Brazil
1 : 2
Norway
29 Jun
Brazil
2 : 1
Japan
24 Jun
Scotland
0 : 3
Brazil
20 Jun
Brazil
3 : 0
Haiti
13 Jun
Brazil
1 : 1
Morocco
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Senegal

(Away)
01 Jul
Belgium
3 : 2
Senegal
26 Jun
Senegal
5 : 0
Iraq
23 Jun
Norway
3 : 2
Senegal
16 Jun
France
3 : 1
Senegal
09 Jun
Saudi Arabia
0 : 0
Senegal
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