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Brazil W vs Canada W

World World

Friendly International Women Arena Pantanal, Cuiabá
Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Duda Sampaio
40'
Regan E.
47' Event
Aline Gomes

AI Match Summary

Brazil W in this Friendly International Women matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Brazil W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Brazil W
15%
Draws
42%
Canada W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brazil W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Brazil W have won more games recently than Canada W.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Brazil W Clean Sheet 17%
Canada W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brazil W Canada W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 21 17
Draws 2 4
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 2.47 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Friendly International Women
Brazil W vs Canada W
1:0
Apr 6, 2024 SheBelieves Cup Women
Canada W vs Brazil W
2:1
Oct 31, 2023 Friendly International Women
Canada W vs Brazil W
2:0
Oct 28, 2023 Friendly International Women
Canada W vs Brazil W
0:1
Feb 19, 2023 SheBelieves Cup Women
Brazil W vs Canada W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brazil W Compare

Top Goalscorer Aline Gomes
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Canada W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brazil W 31 / 100
Canada W 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brazil W Canada W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brazil W found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Canada W conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Brazil W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Brazil W VS Canada W
3 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Brazil W

(Home)
10 Jun
Brazil W
0 : 1
USA W
06 Jun
Brazil W
2 : 1
USA W
19 Apr
Brazil W
1 : 0
Canada W
15 Apr
Brazil W
6 : 1
Zambia W
12 Apr
Brazil W
5 : 1
South Korea W
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Canada W

(Away)
10 Jun
Costa Rica W
0 : 6
Canada W
19 Apr
Brazil W
1 : 0
Canada W
14 Apr
Canada W
3 : 1
South Korea W
11 Apr
Canada W
4 : 0
Zambia W
07 Mar
Canada W
1 : 0
Argentina W
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