Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Brazil W vs Japan W

World World

Friendly International Women 2025 Estádio Municipal Cicero De Souza Marques, Bragança Paulista
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Kitagawa H. In: Chiba R.
Out: Kitagawa H.
46' Event
Seike K.
Assist: Fujino A.
51'
Duda Sampaio

AI Match Summary

Brazil W in this Friendly International Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Brazil W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Brazil W
15%
Draws
47%
Japan W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Japan W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Brazil W lately — more wins on the board than Japan W.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Japan W taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Brazil W Clean Sheet 10%
Japan W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brazil W Japan W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 20 19
Draws 2 3
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 2.41 2.97
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.97
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 2, 2025 Friendly International Women
Brazil W vs Japan W
2:1
May 31, 2025 Friendly International Women
Brazil W vs Japan W
3:1
Jul 28, 2024 Olympic Games Women
Brazil W vs Japan W
1:2
Apr 9, 2024 SheBelieves Cup Women
Japan W vs Brazil W
1:2
Dec 3, 2023 Friendly International Women
Brazil W vs Japan W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brazil W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jhonson
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Japan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Seike K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.79
Avg xA / game 1.09

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brazil W 26 / 100
Japan W 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brazil W Japan W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Japan W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brazil W's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Brazil W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Japan W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 45% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Brazil W VS Japan W
2 Goals Scored 3.38
0.57 Goals Conceded 0.75
43% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 75%
29% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Brazil W

(Home)
10 Jun
Brazil W
0 : 1
USA W
06 Jun
Brazil W
2 : 1
USA W
19 Apr
Brazil W
1 : 0
Canada W
15 Apr
Brazil W
6 : 1
Zambia W
12 Apr
Brazil W
5 : 1
South Korea W
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Japan W

(Away)
02 Oct
North Korea W
2 : 3
Japan W
29 Sept
Japan W
2 : 0
South Korea W
25 Sept
Japan W
4 : 0
Philippines W
21 Sept
Japan W
4 : 0
Chinese Taipei W
17 Sept
Vietnam W
0 : 8
Japan W
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