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Brazil W vs South Korea W

World World

Friendly International Women Arena Pantanal, Cuiabá
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Lee Geum-Min
42' Event
Ary Borges
Assist: Isa Haas
46'
Sub
Gio Garbelini In: Kerolin
Out: Gio Garbelini

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International Women game between Brazil W and South Korea W finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brazil W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Brazil W
15%
Draws
44%
South Korea W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: South Korea W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Brazil W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • South Korea W are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Friendly International Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Brazil W here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 54%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Brazil W Clean Sheet 12%
South Korea W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brazil W South Korea W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 21 13
Draws 2 7
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 2.47 2.69
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 2.17 1.73
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Friendly International Women
Brazil W vs South Korea W
5:1
Jun 9, 2015 World Cup Women
Brazil W vs South Korea W
2:0
Sep 21, 2003 World Cup Women
Brazil W vs South Korea W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brazil W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ary Borges
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ludmila
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.67
Avg xA / game 1.08

South Korea W Compare

Top Goalscorer Park Soo-Jeong
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 0.96

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brazil W 19 / 100
South Korea W 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brazil W South Korea W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick South Korea W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brazil W's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

South Korea W has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Brazil W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Brazil W VS South Korea W
2.33 Goals Scored 2.63
0.83 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
33% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Brazil W

(Home)
10 Jun
Brazil W
0 : 1
USA W
06 Jun
Brazil W
2 : 1
USA W
19 Apr
Brazil W
1 : 0
Canada W
15 Apr
Brazil W
6 : 1
Zambia W
12 Apr
Brazil W
5 : 1
South Korea W
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South Korea W

(Away)
25 Sept
South Korea W
6 : 3
Uzbekistan W
21 Sept
South Korea W
1 : 1
North Korea W
17 Sept
Bangladesh W
0 : 6
South Korea W
14 Sept
South Korea W
5 : 0
Myanmar W
09 Jun
South Korea W
5 : 3
Chinese Taipei W
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