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Brazil W vs South Korea W

World World

Friendly International Women Arena Pantanal
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Lee Geum-Min
42' Event
Ary Borges
Assist: Isa Haas
46'
Sub
Gio Garbelini In: Kerolin
Out: Gio Garbelini

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International Women game between Brazil W and South Korea W finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brazil W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Brazil W
33%
Draws
40%
South Korea W
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: South Korea W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Brazil W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • South Korea W are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Friendly International Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
  • History favors Brazil W here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Brazil W Clean Sheet 14%
South Korea W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brazil W South Korea W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 21 12
Draws 2 6
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 3.13 2.25
Goals Conceded 1 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Friendly International Women
Brazil W vs South Korea W
5:1
Jun 9, 2015 World Cup Women
Brazil W vs South Korea W
2:0
Sep 21, 2003 World Cup Women
Brazil W vs South Korea W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brazil W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ary Borges
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ludmila
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.41
Avg xA / game 1.56

South Korea W Compare

Top Goalscorer Park Soo-Jeong
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brazil W 27 / 100
South Korea W 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brazil W South Korea W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brazil W's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

South Korea W has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Brazil W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Brazil W VS South Korea W
3.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 75%