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Brazil W vs Zambia W

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Friendly International Women Arena Pantanal
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Brazil W play Zambia W in the Friendly International Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Brazil W averaged 2.42 goals scored and 1.16 conceded. Zambia W averaged 1.93 goals scored and 1.46 conceded. In past meetings, Brazil W won 2, Zambia W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 15, 2026 ended 6:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.44 for Brazil W and 1.13 for Zambia W. This points to a Brazil W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Brazil W
15%
Draws
35%
Zambia W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brazil W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Brazil W picked up more points recently compared to Zambia W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.44 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Brazil W Clean Sheet 21%
Zambia W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brazil W Zambia W
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 21 15
Draws 2 6
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 2.42 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 Friendly International Women
Brazil W vs Zambia W
6:1
Jul 27, 2021 Olympic Games Women
Brazil W vs Zambia W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brazil W Compare

Top Goalscorer Yasmim
1 Goals
Assists Leader Taina Maranhao
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.41
Avg xA / game 1.56

Zambia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Banda B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brazil W 49 / 100
Zambia W 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brazil W Zambia W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Brazil W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19%
2.38
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.1%
1.72
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Brazil W attacking → ← attacking Zambia W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brazil W scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Zambia W let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Brazil W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Zambia W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

65 Points in last 5 51
3.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75