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Brea vs Calamocha

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Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025
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Match Events

60' Event
Torcal Guiu D.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025 game between Brea and Calamocha finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Calamocha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Brea
20%
Draws
36%
Calamocha
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Brea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Calamocha carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Brea a 44% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Brea Clean Sheet 20%
Calamocha Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brea Calamocha
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 10 19
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 0.86 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 0.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Brea vs Calamocha
0:1
Nov 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Calamocha vs Brea
0:1
Mar 21, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Calamocha vs Brea
1:1
Jan 6, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Brea vs Calamocha
0:0
Apr 9, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Brea vs Calamocha
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brea Compare

Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Calamocha Compare

Top Goalscorer Torcal Guiu D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.47

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brea 85 / 100
Calamocha 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brea Calamocha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brea has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Brea scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Calamocha has conceded goals in 44% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 0.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Brea VS Calamocha
1.33 Goals Scored 1.38
0.33 Goals Conceded 0.38
67% Over 1.5 63%
33% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Brea

(Home)
12 Sept
Brea
3 : 0
CF Illueca
06 Sept
CD Belchite 97
1 : 1
Brea
11 May
Brea
0 : 0
CD Caspe
04 May
Ebro
1 : 2
Brea
27 Apr
Brea
2 : 1
CD Cuarte
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Calamocha

(Away)
13 Sept
Espanyol B
5 : 0
Calamocha
06 Sept
Calamocha
0 : 1
Terrassa
10 May
CD Carinena
0 : 1
Calamocha
03 May
Calamocha
2 : 0
Robres
26 Apr
Calamocha
1 : 0
Huesca B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ebro 34 19 8 7 49:20 65
2 Huesca B 34 17 7 10 49:36 58
3 CD Cuarte 34 15 12 7 38:25 57
4 Atletico Monzon 34 16 9 9 52:35 57
5 Binefar 34 14 14 6 44:27 56
6 Zuera 34 13 10 11 38:29 49
7 Calamocha 34 11 14 9 41:37 47
8 Epila 34 12 11 11 31:30 47
9 Tamarite 34 12 10 12 41:43 46
10 Utrillas 34 10 11 13 29:39 41
11 CD Caspe 34 10 11 13 27:31 41
12 Andorra CF 34 8 16 10 34:38 40
13 Almudevar 34 9 12 13 30:36 39
14 CD Belchite 97 34 9 12 13 35:34 39
15 La Almunia 34 11 6 17 33:45 39
16 Fraga 34 9 10 15 38:53 37
17 Brea 34 9 8 17 26:43 35
18 Fuentes 34 9 5 20 20:54 32
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025 (Play Offs)