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Brea vs Epila

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Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025
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Match Events

65' Event
Penella M.
70' Event
Oyarzabal Laguna A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Brea
35%
Draws
20%
Epila
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Brea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Brea haven't matched Epila's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Brea's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Brea Clean Sheet 20%
Epila Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brea Epila
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 10 17
Draws 7 10
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 0.86 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.58
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 0.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Brea vs Epila
1:1
Dec 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Epila vs Brea
0:1
Feb 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Epila vs Brea
0:0
Dec 5, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Brea vs Epila
1:0
Feb 12, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Epila vs Brea
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brea Compare

Top Goalscorer Penella M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Epila Compare

Top Goalscorer Oyarzabal Laguna A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.47

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brea 67 / 100
Epila 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brea Epila

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Brea remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Brea's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Epila let in goals in 39% of their last 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Brea VS Epila
1.33 Goals Scored 1.38
0.33 Goals Conceded 0.38
67% Over 1.5 63%
33% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Brea

(Home)
12 Sept
Brea
3 : 0
CF Illueca
06 Sept
CD Belchite 97
1 : 1
Brea
11 May
Brea
0 : 0
CD Caspe
04 May
Ebro
1 : 2
Brea
27 Apr
Brea
2 : 1
CD Cuarte
Page 1 of 6

Epila

(Away)
12 Sept
Epila
0 : 0
Andorra CF
06 Sept
CD Sietamo
0 : 2
Epila
24 May
Atletico Monzon
1 : 0
Epila
16 May
Epila
0 : 1
Atletico Monzon
10 May
Epila
1 : 1
Zuera
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ebro 34 19 8 7 49:20 65
2 Huesca B 34 17 7 10 49:36 58
3 CD Cuarte 34 15 12 7 38:25 57
4 Atletico Monzon 34 16 9 9 52:35 57
5 Binefar 34 14 14 6 44:27 56
6 Zuera 34 13 10 11 38:29 49
7 Calamocha 34 11 14 9 41:37 47
8 Epila 34 12 11 11 31:30 47
9 Tamarite 34 12 10 12 41:43 46
10 Utrillas 34 10 11 13 29:39 41
11 CD Caspe 34 10 11 13 27:31 41
12 Andorra CF 34 8 16 10 34:38 40
13 Almudevar 34 9 12 13 30:36 39
14 CD Belchite 97 34 9 12 13 35:34 39
15 La Almunia 34 11 6 17 33:45 39
16 Fraga 34 9 10 15 38:53 37
17 Brea 34 9 8 17 26:43 35
18 Fuentes 34 9 5 20 20:54 32
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025 (Play Offs)