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Brea vs La Almunia Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025
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Match Events

78' Event
Jaraba Y.

AI Match Summary

Brea in this Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Brea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Brea
35%
Draws
34%
La Almunia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: La Almunia at 1.23 per game, Brea at 0.96.
  • Model gives Brea a 31% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Brea Clean Sheet 20%
La Almunia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brea La Almunia
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 10 10
Draws 7 10
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 0.96 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Brea vs La Almunia
1:0
Oct 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
La Almunia vs Brea
3:0
Apr 18, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Brea vs La Almunia
4:1
Dec 2, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
La Almunia vs Brea
4:2
Feb 18, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Brea vs La Almunia
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brea Compare

Top Goalscorer Jaraba Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

La Almunia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brea 67 / 100
La Almunia 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brea La Almunia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Brea went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

La Almunia let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Brea found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

Brea VS La Almunia
1.33 Goals Scored 1.25
0.33 Goals Conceded 1.13
67% Over 1.5 63%
33% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Brea

(Home)
27 Sept
Brea
3 : 0
Andorra CF
20 Sept
CD Sietamo
1 : 1
Brea
12 Sept
Brea
3 : 0
CF Illueca
06 Sept
CD Belchite 97
1 : 1
Brea
11 May
Brea
0 : 0
CD Caspe
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La Almunia

(Away)
27 Sept
Epila
1 : 3
La Almunia
19 Sept
La Almunia
2 : 1
Binefar
13 Sept
Zaragoza B
2 : 0
La Almunia
06 Sept
La Almunia
2 : 2
Huesca B
09 May
Robres
0 : 1
La Almunia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ebro 34 19 8 7 49:20 65
2 Huesca B 34 17 7 10 49:36 58
3 CD Cuarte 34 15 12 7 38:25 57
4 Atletico Monzon 34 16 9 9 52:35 57
5 Binefar 34 14 14 6 44:27 56
6 Zuera 34 13 10 11 38:29 49
7 Calamocha 34 11 14 9 41:37 47
8 Epila 34 12 11 11 31:30 47
9 Tamarite 34 12 10 12 41:43 46
10 Utrillas 34 10 11 13 29:39 41
11 CD Caspe 34 10 11 13 27:31 41
12 Andorra CF 34 8 16 10 34:38 40
13 Almudevar 34 9 12 13 30:36 39
14 CD Belchite 97 34 9 12 13 35:34 39
15 La Almunia 34 11 6 17 33:45 39
16 Fraga 34 9 10 15 38:53 37
17 Brea 34 9 8 17 26:43 35
18 Fuentes 34 9 5 20 20:54 32
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025 (Play Offs)