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Brechin vs Livingston - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

League Cup Glebe Park, Brechin
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Sinclair T.
Assist: May S.
28' Event
Muirhead R.
34'
Martin L.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Brechin
15%
Draws
31%
Livingston
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brechin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Brechin have won more games recently than Livingston.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Brechin taking it.
  • Brechin have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Livingston, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Livingston have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Brechin Clean Sheet 17%
Livingston Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brechin Livingston
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 10
Draws 3 8
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.73 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2026 League Cup
Brechin vs Livingston
0:2
Jul 15, 2023 League Cup
Brechin vs Livingston
0:3
Jul 10, 2021 League Cup
Brechin vs Livingston
0:3
Apr 21, 2018 Championship
Livingston vs Brechin
3:0
Jan 13, 2018 Championship
Brechin vs Livingston
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brechin Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Livingston Compare

Top Goalscorer Sinclair T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Muirhead R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brechin 57 / 100
Livingston 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brechin Livingston

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brechin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Brechin scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Livingston's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Brechin has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Brechin VS Livingston
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Brechin

(Home)
03 Oct
Brechin
3 : 2
Buckie Thistle
26 Sept
Brechin
3 : 0
Dunipace
19 Sept
Brechin
0 : 1
Hill Of Beath
16 Sept
Stirling University
0 : 1
Brechin
12 Sept
Lochee United
1 : 2
Brechin
Page 1 of 6

Livingston

(Away)
03 Oct
Livingston
1 : 2
Ayr
25 Sept
Raith
0 : 2
Livingston
19 Sept
Livingston
2 : 2
Inverness
11 Sept
Morton
1 : 4
Livingston
04 Sept
Livingston
0 : 1
Stenhousemuir
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aberdeen 4 4 0 0 11:2 12
2 Queen's Park 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
3 Kelty Hearts 4 2 0 2 4:8 5
4 Queen of the South 4 1 0 3 6:8 4
5 Brora Rangers 4 0 0 4 3:11 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dundee Utd 4 3 0 1 8:1 9
2 Montrose 4 3 0 1 5:2 9
3 Arbroath 4 2 0 2 3:6 6
4 Stirling 4 1 0 3 3:5 3
5 Spartans 4 1 0 3 4:9 3
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St. Mirren 4 3 0 1 12:4 9
2 Dunfermline 4 3 0 1 10:4 9
3 East Kilbride 4 2 0 2 13:10 6
4 Dumbarton 4 1 0 3 6:13 3
5 Cove Rangers 4 1 0 3 3:13 3
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ross County 4 4 0 0 11:3 11
2 Dundee FC 4 3 0 1 14:3 10
3 Clyde 4 2 0 2 6:8 6
4 Airdrieonians 4 1 0 3 5:8 3
5 Annan 4 0 0 4 2:16 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stenhousemuir 4 4 0 0 6:3 10
2 Partick 4 3 0 1 13:3 9
3 Livingston 4 2 0 2 11:1 8
4 Forfar Athletic 4 1 0 3 3:15 3
5 Brechin 4 0 0 4 2:13 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inverness 4 4 0 0 5:1 11
2 East Fife 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
3 St Johnstone 4 2 0 2 6:2 7
4 Linlithgow Rose 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
5 Morton 4 0 0 4 0:7 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ayr 4 4 0 0 10:3 12
2 Falkirk 4 2 0 2 9:2 7
3 Edinburgh City 4 2 0 2 4:7 6
4 Alloa 4 2 0 2 4:9 4
5 Stranraer 4 0 0 4 4:10 1
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilmarnock 4 3 0 1 2:0 9
2 Hamilton 4 3 0 1 7:2 8
3 Raith 4 2 0 2 5:2 8
4 Peterhead 4 2 0 2 3:3 5
5 Elgin City 4 0 0 4 2:12 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams