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Brechin vs Musselburgh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Evans N.
42' Event
Taylor M.
57'
McKay B.

AI Match Summary

Brechin in this Lowland League matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Brechin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Brechin
20%
Draws
32%
Musselburgh
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Brechin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Brechin have won more games recently than Musselburgh.
  • Brechin are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Lowland League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Brechin Clean Sheet 20%
Musselburgh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brechin Musselburgh
Matches Played 30 23
Wins 18 10
Draws 3 3
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.73 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Lowland League
Brechin vs Musselburgh
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brechin Compare

Top Goalscorer Taylor M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Musselburgh Compare

Top Goalscorer Evans N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brechin 85 / 100
Musselburgh 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brechin Musselburgh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brechin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brechin scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Musselburgh let in goals in 83% of their last 23 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Brechin went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Brechin VS Musselburgh
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Brechin

(Home)
03 Oct
Brechin
3 : 2
Buckie Thistle
26 Sept
Brechin
3 : 0
Dunipace
19 Sept
Brechin
0 : 1
Hill Of Beath
16 Sept
Stirling University
0 : 1
Brechin
12 Sept
Lochee United
1 : 2
Brechin
Page 1 of 6

Musselburgh

(Away)
03 Oct
Musselburgh
2 : 1
Lossiemouth
26 Sept
Musselburgh
1 : 1
Tranent FC
19 Sept
Berwick
0 : 0
Musselburgh
15 Sept
Hill Of Beath
1 : 0
Musselburgh
12 Sept
Musselburgh
2 : 0
Gala Fairydean Rovers
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tranent FC 9 8 1 0 18:5 25
2 Linlithgow Rose 10 7 1 2 29:12 22
3 Brechin 9 7 1 1 20:10 22
4 Broxburn Athletic 9 7 1 1 15:8 22
5 Hill Of Beath 10 7 1 2 15:11 22
6 Bonnyrigg Rose 9 6 0 3 23:9 18
7 Lochee United 10 5 2 3 21:16 17
8 Civil Service Strollers 10 5 1 4 16:16 16
9 Boness United 10 4 1 5 17:22 13
10 East Stirlingshire 10 3 1 6 14:21 10
11 Cowdenbeath 9 3 0 6 13:15 9
12 Musselburgh 10 2 3 5 10:15 9
13 Berwick 9 1 2 6 9:17 5
14 Dunipace 9 1 1 7 6:20 4
15 Gala Fairydean Rovers 9 1 0 8 9:22 3
16 Stirling University 10 1 0 9 11:27 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilwinning Rangers 11 9 0 2 35:15 27
2 Pollok 10 7 2 1 26:13 23
3 Largs Thistle 11 7 2 2 15:10 23
4 Auchinleck Talbot 11 7 1 3 35:12 22
5 Clydebank FC 9 6 2 1 32:18 20
6 Caledonian Braves 10 6 1 3 31:21 19
7 Johnstone Burgh 10 5 3 2 22:16 18
8 Celtic B 10 5 2 3 28:19 17
9 Cumnock Juniors 10 5 2 3 25:18 17
10 Troon FC 11 4 0 7 20:23 12
11 Cumbernauld Colts 10 2 4 4 20:23 10
12 Gretna 2008 11 3 1 7 25:33 10
13 Beith 11 2 3 6 14:28 9
14 Albion Rovers 10 2 2 6 10:21 8
15 Renfrew 10 2 1 7 18:29 7
16 Newton Stewart 9 1 1 7 9:37 4
17 Dalbeattie Star 10 0 1 9 6:35 1
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)