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Brechin vs Stenhousemuir - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

League Cup Glebe Park, Brechin
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Anderson M.
Assist: Carrick D.
26'
Kirk C.
42'
Penman C.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Brechin
15%
Draws
42%
Stenhousemuir
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brechin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Stenhousemuir come out ahead of Brechin on wins alone.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Brechin taking it.
  • Stenhousemuir arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Stenhousemuir, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Brechin Clean Sheet 20%
Stenhousemuir Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brechin Stenhousemuir
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 21
Draws 3 5
Losses 9 3
Goals Scored 1.73 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 League Cup
Brechin vs Stenhousemuir
1:2
May 4, 2021 League Two
Brechin vs Stenhousemuir
0:1
Apr 10, 2021 League Two
Stenhousemuir vs Brechin
0:0
Apr 6, 2021 League Two
Brechin vs Stenhousemuir
1:1
Dec 5, 2020 League Two
Stenhousemuir vs Brechin
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brechin Compare

Top Goalscorer Hilson D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Stenhousemuir Compare

Top Goalscorer Anderson M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Carrick D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brechin 76 / 100
Stenhousemuir 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brechin Stenhousemuir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brechin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brechin's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Brechin stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Stenhousemuir's defensive record shows goals conceded in 45% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Brechin VS Stenhousemuir
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Brechin

(Home)
03 Oct
Brechin
3 : 2
Buckie Thistle
26 Sept
Brechin
3 : 0
Dunipace
19 Sept
Brechin
0 : 1
Hill Of Beath
16 Sept
Stirling University
0 : 1
Brechin
12 Sept
Lochee United
1 : 2
Brechin
Page 1 of 6

Stenhousemuir

(Away)
25 Sept
Ayr
0 : 1
Stenhousemuir
19 Sept
Stenhousemuir
1 : 0
Arbroath
15 Sept
Stenhousemuir
1 : 0
Partick
11 Sept
Stenhousemuir
0 : 3
Hearts
04 Sept
Livingston
0 : 1
Stenhousemuir
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aberdeen 4 4 0 0 11:2 12
2 Queen's Park 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
3 Kelty Hearts 4 2 0 2 4:8 5
4 Queen of the South 4 1 0 3 6:8 4
5 Brora Rangers 4 0 0 4 3:11 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dundee Utd 4 3 0 1 8:1 9
2 Montrose 4 3 0 1 5:2 9
3 Arbroath 4 2 0 2 3:6 6
4 Stirling 4 1 0 3 3:5 3
5 Spartans 4 1 0 3 4:9 3
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St. Mirren 4 3 0 1 12:4 9
2 Dunfermline 4 3 0 1 10:4 9
3 East Kilbride 4 2 0 2 13:10 6
4 Dumbarton 4 1 0 3 6:13 3
5 Cove Rangers 4 1 0 3 3:13 3
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ross County 4 4 0 0 11:3 11
2 Dundee FC 4 3 0 1 14:3 10
3 Clyde 4 2 0 2 6:8 6
4 Airdrieonians 4 1 0 3 5:8 3
5 Annan 4 0 0 4 2:16 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stenhousemuir 4 4 0 0 6:3 10
2 Partick 4 3 0 1 13:3 9
3 Livingston 4 2 0 2 11:1 8
4 Forfar Athletic 4 1 0 3 3:15 3
5 Brechin 4 0 0 4 2:13 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inverness 4 4 0 0 5:1 11
2 East Fife 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
3 St Johnstone 4 2 0 2 6:2 7
4 Linlithgow Rose 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
5 Morton 4 0 0 4 0:7 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ayr 4 4 0 0 10:3 12
2 Falkirk 4 2 0 2 9:2 7
3 Edinburgh City 4 2 0 2 4:7 6
4 Alloa 4 2 0 2 4:9 4
5 Stranraer 4 0 0 4 4:10 1
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilmarnock 4 3 0 1 2:0 9
2 Hamilton 4 3 0 1 7:2 8
3 Raith 4 2 0 2 5:2 8
4 Peterhead 4 2 0 2 3:3 5
5 Elgin City 4 0 0 4 2:12 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams