Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bregalnica Stip vs Bashkimi

North Macedonia North Macedonia

1. MFL
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Januzi M.
23' Event
Gligorov I.
29'
Iseni B.

AI Match Summary

The 1. MFL game between Bregalnica Stip and Bashkimi finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bregalnica Stip.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Bregalnica Stip
30%
Draws
37%
Bashkimi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bashkimi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bregalnica Stip come out ahead of Bashkimi on wins alone.
  • Model gives Bregalnica Stip a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Bashkimi have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Bregalnica Stip Clean Sheet 19%
Bashkimi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bregalnica Stip Bashkimi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 21 8
Draws 3 8
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 2.67 1.27
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 1. MFL
Bregalnica Stip vs Bashkimi
3:0
May 18, 2025 2. MFL
Bregalnica Stip vs Bashkimi
0:1
Dec 7, 2024 2. MFL
Bashkimi vs Bregalnica Stip
2:1
May 6, 2007 1. MFL
Bashkimi vs Bregalnica Stip
2:1
Dec 9, 2006 1. MFL
Bashkimi vs Bregalnica Stip
8:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bregalnica Stip Compare

Top Goalscorer Gligorov I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kalpacki D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Bashkimi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bregalnica Stip 42 / 100
Bashkimi 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bregalnica Stip Bashkimi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bregalnica Stip's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Bashkimi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Bregalnica Stip remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bregalnica Stip VS Bashkimi
2.38 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bregalnica Stip

(Home)
23 Sept
Bregalnica Stip
1 : 0
FK Skopje
13 Sept
Sileks
2 : 2
Bregalnica Stip
09 Sept
Teteks
1 : 4
Bregalnica Stip
04 Sept
Bregalnica Stip
0 : 1
Shkendija Haracine
28 Aug
Struga
4 : 0
Bregalnica Stip
Page 1 of 6

Bashkimi

(Away)
27 Sept
Drita
1 : 1
Bashkimi
18 Sept
Shkendija Tetovo
4 : 1
Bashkimi
12 Sept
Bashkimi
3 : 3
Vardar
09 Sept
BVK Konjare
0 : 5
Bashkimi
05 Sept
FK Skopje
1 : 2
Bashkimi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shkendija Tetovo 8 6 1 1 20:8 19
2 Struga 8 5 2 1 19:5 17
3 Vardar 8 4 2 2 14:8 14
4 Tikves 8 3 4 1 17:7 13
5 Shkendija Haracine 8 4 1 3 6:9 13
6 Bregalnica Stip 8 3 1 4 11:13 10
7 Sileks 8 2 3 3 13:10 9
8 Arsimi 8 2 2 4 6:19 8
9 Bashkimi 8 1 1 6 7:25 4
10 FK Skopje 8 0 3 5 3:12 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. MFL (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2027/2028 (Main)