Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bregalnica Stip vs Pobeda

North Macedonia North Macedonia

2. MFL 2025/2026 Gradski Stadion Štip, Štip
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bregalnica Stip in this 2. MFL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 7-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bregalnica Stip.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Bregalnica Stip
15%
Draws
0%
Pobeda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bregalnica Stip

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bregalnica Stip lately — more wins on the board than Pobeda.
  • Bregalnica Stip are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Bregalnica Stip Clean Sheet 20%
Pobeda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bregalnica Stip Pobeda
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 23 3
Draws 2 2
Losses 6 25
Goals Scored 2.68 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.81 3.97
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 0.53
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 2. MFL
Bregalnica Stip vs Pobeda
7:0
Nov 29, 2025 2. MFL
Pobeda vs Bregalnica Stip
0:4
Feb 15, 2025 2. MFL
Pobeda vs Bregalnica Stip
0:0
Aug 17, 2024 2. MFL
Bregalnica Stip vs Pobeda
2:1
Aug 10, 2024 Club Friendly
Bregalnica Stip vs Pobeda
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bregalnica Stip 85 / 100
Pobeda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bregalnica Stip Pobeda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bregalnica Stip Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bregalnica Stip's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Pobeda let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Away concern: Pobeda has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Bregalnica Stip VS Pobeda
2.63 Goals Scored 0.57
0.5 Goals Conceded 5.86
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 86%

Recent Form & Match History

Bregalnica Stip

(Home)
04 Sept
Bregalnica Stip
0 : 1
Shkendija Haracine
28 Aug
Struga
4 : 0
Bregalnica Stip
21 Aug
Bregalnica Stip
3 : 0
Bashkimi
16 Aug
Shkendija Tetovo
4 : 1
Bregalnica Stip
08 Aug
Bregalnica Stip
4 : 0
Arsimi
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Pobeda

(Away)
23 May
Bregalnica Stip
7 : 0
Pobeda
16 May
Pobeda
3 : 5
Vardar Negotino
10 May
Kozuf Gevgelija
8 : 0
Pobeda
02 May
Pobeda
0 : 3
Teteks
25 Apr
Pobeda
1 : 8
Osogovo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bregalnica Stip 30 22 5 3 72:17 71
2 FK Skopje 30 23 2 5 72:20 71
3 Shkendija Haracine 30 21 6 3 67:19 69
4 Ohrid 30 21 5 4 78:17 68
5 Belasica Strumica 30 18 4 8 57:21 58
6 Osogovo 30 16 6 8 53:27 54
7 Novaci 30 15 6 9 47:31 51
8 Detonit Plackovica 30 14 7 9 52:28 49
9 Kozuf Gevgelija 30 12 9 9 50:26 45
10 Teteks 30 13 3 14 56:44 42
11 Kamenica Sasa 30 9 9 12 47:53 36
12 Vardar Negotino 30 6 4 20 37:95 22
13 Sloga Vinica 30 4 3 23 31:84 15
14 Prespa 30 5 0 25 30:76 15
15 Pobeda 30 3 2 25 19:117 11
16 Golemo Konjari 30 2 1 27 17:110 7
Promotion - 1. MFL (Main)
Promotion - 1. MFL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2025/2026 (Relegation)