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Breidablik vs Valur - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Kópavogsvöllur, Kópavogur
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Match Events

39' Event
Gardarson D.
Assist: Jonsson J.
55' Event
Ingvarsson D.
Assist: Kristinsson K.
56'
Haraldsson T.

AI Match Summary

The Besta deild karla game between Breidablik and Valur finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Valur.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Breidablik
20%
Draws
46%
Valur
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Valur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Breidablik carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Valur taking it.
  • Regular Besta deild karla form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Breidablik Clean Sheet 10%
Valur Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Breidablik Valur
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 2.17 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.69 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Besta deild karla
Breidablik vs Valur
1:3
May 17, 2026 Besta deild karla
Valur vs Breidablik
3:2
Sep 22, 2025 Besta deild karla
Valur vs Breidablik
1:1
Aug 10, 2025 Besta deild karla
Valur vs Breidablik
2:1
May 19, 2025 Besta deild karla
Breidablik vs Valur
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Breidablik Compare

Top Goalscorer Ingvarsson D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Valur Compare

Top Goalscorer Gardarson D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Haraldsson T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Breidablik 26 / 100
Valur 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Breidablik Valur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valur Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Breidablik's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Valur let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Breidablik stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Breidablik VS Valur
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Breidablik

(Home)
20 Sept
Akranes
4 : 1
Breidablik
15 Sept
Fram
1 : 3
Breidablik
11 Sept
Afturelding
1 : 2
Breidablik
06 Sept
KA Akureyri
2 : 1
Breidablik
31 Aug
Breidablik
0 : 2
Stjarnan
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Valur

(Away)
20 Sept
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1 : 1
Valur
13 Sept
Valur
4 : 1
Thor Akureyri
05 Sept
Keflavik
1 : 2
Valur
30 Aug
Valur
2 : 2
Akranes
23 Aug
Vikingur Reykjavik
2 : 0
Valur
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 22 16 5 1 67:21 53
2 Fram 22 13 6 3 56:42 45
3 KR Reykjavik 22 13 5 4 74:49 44
4 Breidablik 22 8 6 8 43:41 30
5 Akranes 22 8 6 8 39:41 30
6 Keflavik 22 8 4 10 33:38 28
7 Stjarnan 22 8 4 10 42:50 28
8 Valur 22 8 3 11 39:45 27
9 Hafnarfjordur 22 4 9 9 27:39 21
10 Thor Akureyri 22 6 3 13 22:50 21
11 KA Akureyri 22 5 5 12 35:48 20
12 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 22 4 6 12 32:45 18
Promotion - Besta deild karla (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild karla (Relegation Group)