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Breidablik vs Valur

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Kópavogsvöllur, Kópavogur
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Gardarson D.
Assist: Jonsson J.
55' Event
Ingvarsson D.
Assist: Kristinsson K.
56'
Haraldsson T.

AI Match Summary

The Besta deild karla game between Breidablik and Valur finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Valur.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Breidablik
20%
Draws
40%
Valur
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Breidablik carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Breidablik taking it.
  • Regular Besta deild karla form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Breidablik Clean Sheet 17%
Valur Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Breidablik Valur
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 10
Draws 5 3
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 2.04 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.64 2.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Besta deild karla
Breidablik vs Valur
1:3
May 17, 2026 Besta deild karla
Valur vs Breidablik
3:2
Sep 22, 2025 Besta deild karla
Valur vs Breidablik
1:1
Aug 10, 2025 Besta deild karla
Valur vs Breidablik
2:1
May 19, 2025 Besta deild karla
Breidablik vs Valur
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Breidablik Compare

Top Goalscorer Ingvarsson D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Valur Compare

Top Goalscorer Gardarson D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Haraldsson T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Breidablik 41 / 100
Valur 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Breidablik Valur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Breidablik's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Valur let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Breidablik stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Breidablik VS Valur
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Breidablik

(Home)
09 Aug
Breidablik
1 : 3
Valur
04 Aug
Thor Akureyri
1 : 0
Breidablik
27 Jul
Breidablik
1 : 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
20 Jul
Hafnarfjordur
0 : 0
Breidablik
13 Jul
Breidablik
2 : 1
Keflavik
Page 1 of 6

Valur

(Away)
09 Aug
Breidablik
1 : 3
Valur
06 Aug
Valur
0 : 2
Nordsjaelland
03 Aug
Valur
2 : 3
Stjarnan
30 Jul
Zrinjski
2 : 2
Valur
23 Jul
Valur
1 : 0
Zrinjski
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 19 15 3 1 62:18 48
2 KR Reykjavik 19 12 4 3 67:42 40
3 Fram 19 12 4 3 48:35 40
4 Breidablik 19 8 6 5 39:33 30
5 Akranes 19 7 4 8 33:37 25
6 Keflavik 19 7 4 8 30:34 25
7 Valur 19 7 2 10 35:40 23
8 Stjarnan 19 6 3 10 34:46 21
9 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 19 4 5 10 30:41 17
10 Hafnarfjordur 19 3 8 8 24:36 17
11 KA Akureyri 19 4 4 11 28:40 16
12 Thor Akureyri 19 4 3 12 18:46 15
Promotion - Besta deild karla (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild karla (Relegation Group)