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Breidablik W vs Valur W

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild Women Kópavogsvöllur, Kópavogur
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Kristinsdottir M.
Assist: Tryggvadottir I.
17' Event
Kristinsdottir M.
Assist: Tryggvadottir I.
18'
Palmadottir H.

AI Match Summary

The Besta deild Women game between Breidablik W and Valur W finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Breidablik W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Breidablik W
30%
Draws
31%
Valur W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Breidablik W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Breidablik W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Breidablik W Clean Sheet 20%
Valur W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Breidablik W Valur W
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 22 7
Draws 2 7
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 2.88 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2026 Besta deild Women
Valur W vs Breidablik W
1:7
May 11, 2026 Besta deild Women
Breidablik W vs Valur W
3:2
Feb 5, 2026 League Cup Women
Breidablik W vs Valur W
1:2
Oct 11, 2025 Besta deild Women
Valur W vs Breidablik W
1:1
Aug 4, 2025 Besta deild Women
Valur W vs Breidablik W
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Breidablik W Compare

Top Goalscorer Vidarsdottir E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sigurdardottir S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Valur W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kristinsdottir M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Breidablik W 36 / 100
Valur W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Breidablik W Valur W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valur W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Breidablik W scored in 97% of their last 33 games.

Valur W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Breidablik W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Breidablik W VS Valur W
2.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Breidablik W

(Home)
26 Sept
IBV Vestmannaeyjar W
1 : 2
Breidablik W
23 Sept
Breidablik W
2 : 6
Czarni Sosnowiec W
17 Sept
Breidablik W
4 : 1
Grindavik/Njardvik W
07 Sept
Throttur W
1 : 1
Breidablik W
02 Sept
Miercurea Ciuc W
0 : 1
Breidablik W
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Valur W

(Away)
25 Sept
Valur W
1 : 1
Vikingur Reykjavik W
19 Sept
Valur W
0 : 1
Thor/KA W
06 Sept
Grindavik/Njardvik W
1 : 4
Valur W
30 Aug
Valur W
2 : 2
Hafnarfjordur W
21 Aug
Thor/KA W
0 : 1
Valur W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Breidablik W 18 12 1 5 46:21 37
2 Hafnarfjordur W 18 11 4 3 56:32 37
3 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 18 8 3 7 31:34 27
4 Stjarnan W 18 7 5 6 31:27 26
5 Throttur W 18 6 5 7 24:27 23
6 Grindavik/Njardvik W 18 6 4 8 25:33 22
7 Fram W 18 7 1 10 28:43 22
8 Valur W 18 5 5 8 22:31 20
9 Vikingur Reykjavik W 18 6 2 10 27:38 20
10 Thor/KA W 18 5 4 9 24:28 19
Promotion - Besta deild Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild Women (Relegation Group)