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Breno vs Alfonsine - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Melchiori L.
90' Event
Triglia A.

AI Match Summary

Breno in this Serie D - Group D 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Breno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Breno
30%
Draws
31%
Alfonsine
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Breno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Breno lately — more wins on the board than Alfonsine.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Breno taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Breno Clean Sheet 18%
Alfonsine Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Breno Alfonsine
Matches Played 32 21
Wins 10 5
Draws 7 5
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.16 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2020 Serie D - Group D
Breno vs Alfonsine
2:0
Sep 29, 2019 Serie D - Group D
Alfonsine vs Breno
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Breno Compare

Top Goalscorer Melchiori L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Triglia A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Alfonsine Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Breno 36 / 100
Alfonsine 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Breno Alfonsine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Alfonsine's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 21 matches.

Solid form: Breno remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Alfonsine lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Breno VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Breno

(Home)
10 May
Breno
0 : 1
Pavia
03 May
Breno
2 : 1
Villa Valle
26 Apr
Varesina
2 : 2
Breno
19 Apr
Breno
0 : 2
Brusaporto
12 Apr
Real Calepina
1 : 1
Breno
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Alfonsine

(Away)
23 Feb
Alfonsine
0 : 1
Ciliverghe Mazzano
16 Feb
Sammaurese
0 : 0
Alfonsine
09 Feb
Alfonsine
1 : 0
Franciacorta
02 Feb
Breno
2 : 0
Alfonsine
26 Jan
Correggese
1 : 0
Alfonsine
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