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Breno vs Olginatese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Tagliani M.
64'
Tarasco A.
64'
Tarasco A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2021/2022 game between Breno and Olginatese finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Breno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Breno
35%
Draws
40%
Olginatese
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Olginatese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Breno carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Breno are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Breno Clean Sheet 18%
Olginatese Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Breno Olginatese
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 7 8
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 0.97 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Breno vs Olginatese
1:0
Oct 24, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Olginatese vs Breno
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Breno Compare

Top Goalscorer Tagliani M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Olginatese Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Breno 36 / 100
Olginatese 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Breno Olginatese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olginatese let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Breno remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Breno found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 0.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Breno VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Breno

(Home)
10 May
Breno
0 : 1
Pavia
03 May
Breno
2 : 1
Villa Valle
26 Apr
Varesina
2 : 2
Breno
19 Apr
Breno
0 : 2
Brusaporto
12 Apr
Real Calepina
1 : 1
Breno
Page 1 of 7

Olginatese

(Away)
15 May
Olginatese
2 : 1
AC Leon
08 May
Villa Valle
0 : 1
Olginatese
01 May
Olginatese
1 : 2
Sona
27 Apr
Vis Nova Giussano
3 : 3
Olginatese
24 Apr
Olginatese
2 : 2
Franciacorta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sangiuliano City 38 25 7 6 81:39 82
2 Legnano 38 19 9 10 49:44 66
3 USD Casatese 38 17 13 8 70:44 64
4 Brusaporto 38 18 10 10 62:49 64
5 Folgore Caratese 38 18 9 11 57:46 63
6 Desenzano Calvina 38 17 12 9 65:49 63
7 Breno 38 16 10 12 56:43 58
8 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 15 13 10 66:56 58
9 Arconatese 38 15 12 11 62:58 57
10 Franciacorta 38 13 13 12 73:80 52
11 Crema 38 12 10 16 44:52 46
12 Castellanzese 38 12 10 16 50:55 46
13 Sona 38 11 12 15 43:56 45
14 Ponte San Pietro 38 10 14 14 54:56 44
15 Real Calepina 38 11 11 16 38:39 44
16 Villa Valle 38 9 12 17 49:56 39
17 Caravaggio 38 7 16 15 41:62 37
18 Vis Nova Giussano 38 10 5 23 56:77 35
19 Olginatese 38 8 11 19 43:60 35
20 AC Leon 38 8 9 21 50:88 33
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2021/2022 (Play Out)