Sport Picks

England

Premier League Cup

Derby U21

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-4. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Brentford U21 at 2.31 goals for, 1.28 against; Derby U21 at 1.72 for, 2.28 against. Head-to-head, Brentford U21 have won 2 to Derby U21's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 27, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (2.75 xG vs 1.56) point toward Brentford U21. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%

Brentford U21

20%

Draws

33%

Derby U21

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Brentford U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence

Brentford U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
47% — that's where the model lands on Brentford U21 taking it.
Brentford U21 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Derby U21, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Brentford U21 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 28%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%

Brentford U21 Clean Sheet 15%

Derby U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Brentford U21	Derby U21
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	19	8
Draws	4	8
Losses	6	13
Goals Scored	2.31	1.72
Goals Conceded	1.28	2.28
Expected Goals (xG)	2.75	1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2026 Professional Development League

Brentford U21 vs Derby U21

2:0

Dec 6, 2024 Premier League Cup

Derby U21 vs Brentford U21

1:4

Oct 21, 2024 Premier League Cup

Brentford U21 vs Derby U21

0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brentford U21 84 / 100

Derby U21 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Brentford U21 Derby U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brentford U21 Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brentford U21's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Derby U21 has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Brentford U21 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Brentford U21 VS Derby U21

2.38 Goals Scored 1.75

1.38 Goals Conceded 3.13

100% Over 1.5 100%

63% Over 2.5 88%

50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Brentford U21

(Home)

13 Sept

Brentford U21

0 : 2

Everton U21

08 Sept

Hull City U21

1 : 1

Brentford U21

31 Aug

Brentford U21

5 : 1

Sunderland U21

21 Aug

Stoke City U21

2 : 3

Brentford U21

16 Aug

Brentford U21

2 : 0

Wycombe U21

Page 1 of 6

Derby U21

(Away)

11 Sept

Derby U21

1 : 3

Tottenham U21

08 Sept

Gateshead

1 : 3

Derby U21

31 Aug

Derby U21

4 : 4

West Brom U21

24 Aug

Reading U21

1 : 3

Derby U21

18 Aug

Halifax

6 : 2

Derby U21

Page 1 of 6