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Brentford vs Crystal Palace

England England

Premier League 2025/2026 Brentford Community Stadium, London
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Sarr I.
(Penalty)
40' Event
Ouattara Da.
46'
Sub
Pino Y. In: Johnson B.
Out: Pino Y.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Brentford and Crystal Palace finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Brentford
35%
Draws
34%
Crystal Palace
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Crystal Palace have managed 1.47 goals a game lately — Brentford are scoring more at 1.9.
  • Model gives Brentford a 31% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Brentford Clean Sheet 18%
Crystal Palace Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brentford Crystal Palace
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 11 6
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.9 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Premier League
Brentford vs Crystal Palace
2:2
Nov 1, 2025 Premier League
Crystal Palace vs Brentford
2:0
Jan 26, 2025 Premier League
Crystal Palace vs Brentford
1:2
Aug 18, 2024 Premier League
Brentford vs Crystal Palace
2:1
Dec 30, 2023 Premier League
Crystal Palace vs Brentford
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brentford Compare

Top Goalscorer Ouattara Da.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Crystal Palace Compare

Top Goalscorer Wharton A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brentford 67 / 100
Crystal Palace 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brentford Crystal Palace

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brentford Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Brentford has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Brentford scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Crystal Palace conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Brentford VS Crystal Palace
3.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Brentford

(Home)
18 Sept
Brentford
3 : 0
Chelsea
15 Sept
Reading
1 : 2
Brentford
12 Sept
Bournemouth
2 : 2
Brentford
05 Sept
Brentford
1 : 1
Sunderland
30 Aug
Leeds
1 : 1
Brentford
Page 1 of 6

Crystal Palace

(Away)
20 Sept
Leeds
0 : 0
Crystal Palace
17 Sept
Crystal Palace
4 : 0
Lech Poznan
12 Sept
Crystal Palace
2 : 3
Ipswich
08 Sept
Crystal Palace
3 : 0
Middlesbrough
05 Sept
Fulham
2 : 3
Crystal Palace
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arsenal 38 26 7 5 71:27 85
2 Manchester City 38 23 9 6 77:35 78
3 Manchester United 38 20 11 7 69:50 71
4 Aston Villa 38 19 8 11 56:49 65
5 Liverpool 38 17 9 12 63:53 60
6 Bournemouth 38 13 18 7 58:54 57
7 Sunderland 38 14 12 12 42:48 54
8 Brighton 38 14 11 13 52:46 53
9 Brentford 38 14 11 13 55:52 53
10 Chelsea 38 14 10 14 58:52 52
11 Fulham 38 15 7 16 47:51 52
12 Newcastle Utd 38 14 7 17 53:55 49
13 Everton 38 13 10 15 47:50 49
14 Leeds 38 11 14 13 49:56 47
15 Crystal Palace 38 11 12 15 41:51 45
16 Nottingham 38 11 11 16 48:51 44
17 Tottenham 38 10 11 17 48:57 41
18 West Ham 38 10 9 19 46:65 39
19 Burnley 38 4 10 24 38:75 22
20 Wolves 38 3 11 24 27:68 20
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship (Main)