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Brentford vs Crystal Palace

England England

Premier League 2025/2026 Brentford Community Stadium, London
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Sarr I.
(Penalty)
40' Event
Ouattara Da.
46'
Sub
Pino Y. In: Johnson B.
Out: Pino Y.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Brentford and Crystal Palace finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Brentford
40%
Draws
29%
Crystal Palace
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Crystal Palace come out ahead of Brentford on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Brentford Clean Sheet 18%
Crystal Palace Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brentford Crystal Palace
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 10 7
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.17 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.33 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.33 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Premier League
Brentford vs Crystal Palace
2:2
Nov 1, 2025 Premier League
Crystal Palace vs Brentford
2:0
Jan 26, 2025 Premier League
Crystal Palace vs Brentford
1:2
Aug 18, 2024 Premier League
Brentford vs Crystal Palace
2:1
Dec 30, 2023 Premier League
Crystal Palace vs Brentford
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brentford Compare

Top Goalscorer Ouattara Da.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Crystal Palace Compare

Top Goalscorer Wharton A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brentford 32 / 100
Crystal Palace 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brentford Crystal Palace

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Brentford scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Crystal Palace let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Brentford remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Brentford VS Crystal Palace
1.17 Goals Scored 1.38
1.33 Goals Conceded 2.13
83% Over 1.5 100%
67% Over 2.5 100%
17% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Brentford

(Home)
24 May
Liverpool
1 : 1
Brentford
17 May
Brentford
2 : 2
Crystal Palace
09 May
Manchester City
3 : 0
Brentford
02 May
Brentford
3 : 0
West Ham
27 Apr
Manchester United
2 : 1
Brentford
Page 1 of 6

Crystal Palace

(Away)
31 Jul
Crystal Palace
3 : 1
Al-Ula
28 Jul
Famalicao
0 : 1
Crystal Palace
28 Jul
Crystal Palace
0 : 3
Lens
25 Jul
Bromley
3 : 0
Crystal Palace
18 Jul
Crystal Palace
5 : 1
Swindon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Arsenal38267571:2785
2Manchester City38239677:3578
3Manchester United382011769:5071
4Aston Villa381981156:4965
5Liverpool381791263:5360
6Bournemouth381318758:5457
7Sunderland3814121242:4854
8Brighton3814111352:4653
9Brentford3814111355:5253
10Chelsea3814101458:5252
11Fulham381571647:5152
12Newcastle Utd381471753:5549
13Everton3813101547:5049
14Leeds3811141349:5647
15Crystal Palace3811121541:5145
16Nottingham3811111648:5144
17Tottenham3810111748:5741
18West Ham381091946:6539
19Burnley384102438:7522
20Wolves383112427:6820
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship (Main)