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Brera Ilch vs Khoromkhon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mongolia Mongolia

Premier League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Otani S.
11' Event
Blanc S.
(Penalty)
27' Event
Sattorov M.

AI Match Summary

Khoromkhon in this Premier League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-7 — backing the pre-match view that favored Khoromkhon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Brera Ilch
15%
Draws
0%
Khoromkhon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brera Ilch

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Khoromkhon lately — more wins on the board than Brera Ilch.
  • Brera Ilch are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Khoromkhon have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Brera Ilch Clean Sheet 18%
Khoromkhon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brera Ilch Khoromkhon
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 5 8
Draws 4 1
Losses 21 25
Goals Scored 1.67 1.74
Goals Conceded 2.7 5
Expected Goals (xG) 3.67 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2025 Premier League
Brera Ilch vs Khoromkhon
1:7
Mar 15, 2025 Premier League
Khoromkhon vs Brera Ilch
3:0
Aug 18, 2024 Premier League
Brera Ilch vs Khoromkhon
0:2
May 14, 2024 Premier League
Brera Ilch vs Khoromkhon
1:3
Mar 15, 2024 Premier League
Khoromkhon vs Brera Ilch
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brera Ilch Compare

Avg xG / game 2.82
Avg xA / game 1.83

Khoromkhon Compare

Top Goalscorer Sattorov M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Otani S.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brera Ilch 85 / 100
Khoromkhon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brera Ilch Khoromkhon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brera Ilch Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Khoromkhon conceded in 88% of 34 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Away concern: Khoromkhon has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Brera Ilch scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Khoromkhon
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 6.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Brera Ilch

(Home)
19 Jul
Central Stallions
4 : 1
Brera Ilch
15 Jul
Brera Ilch
1 : 4
Khovd
09 Jul
Khaan Khuns-Erchim
3 : 5
Brera Ilch
06 Jul
Khangarid
3 : 1
Brera Ilch
01 Jul
Brera Ilch
0 : 1
Hunters
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Khoromkhon

(Away)
04 Jul
Khoromkhon
1 : 3
Khovd Western
01 Jul
Khovd
7 : 1
Khoromkhon
25 Jun
Khoromkhon
2 : 4
Ulaangom City FC
22 Jun
Hunters
9 : 0
Khoromkhon
17 Jun
Khoromkhon
2 : 5
Ulaangom City FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Falcons 27 21 4 2 104:19 67
2 Khangarid 27 18 3 6 66:32 57
3 FC Ulaanbaatar 27 15 6 6 65:40 51
4 Deren 27 15 5 7 83:30 50
5 Khoromkhon 27 11 1 15 58:89 34
6 Khovd 27 9 5 13 72:61 32
7 Hunters 27 8 5 14 38:49 29
8 Khaan Khuns-Erchim 27 7 6 14 54:64 27
9 Central Stallions 27 7 1 19 31:156 22
10 Brera Ilch 27 4 4 19 43:74 16
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)