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Brera Strumica vs Rabotnicki Prediction & H2H Stats

North Macedonia North Macedonia

1. MFL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Hodja D.
4' Event
Velichkovski N.
21'
Arizankoski A.

AI Match Summary

The 1. MFL 2025/2026 game between Brera Strumica and Rabotnicki finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Brera Strumica
20%
Draws
35%
Rabotnicki
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Brera Strumica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rabotnicki come out ahead of Brera Strumica on wins alone.
  • Brera Strumica are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 1. MFL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Brera Strumica Clean Sheet 68%
Rabotnicki Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brera Strumica Rabotnicki
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 16
Draws 7 3
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.64 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 2. MFL
Rabotnicki vs Brera Strumica
0:0
Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Rabotnicki vs Brera Strumica
1:0
May 10, 2026 1. MFL
Brera Strumica vs Rabotnicki
2:2
Feb 20, 2026 1. MFL
Brera Strumica vs Rabotnicki
3:4
Sep 28, 2025 1. MFL
Rabotnicki vs Brera Strumica
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brera Strumica Compare

Top Goalscorer Velichkovski N.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Rabotnicki Compare

Top Goalscorer Hodja D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Boshnakov J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brera Strumica 95 / 100
Rabotnicki 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brera Strumica Rabotnicki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brera Strumica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Brera Strumica went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Brera Strumica scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Rabotnicki's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Brera Strumica VS Rabotnicki
1.63 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Brera Strumica

(Home)
20 Sept
Brera Strumica
7 : 0
Shkupi
06 Sept
Brera Strumica
1 : 0
Makedonija GP
02 Sept
Venec Negotino
0 : 8
Brera Strumica
29 Aug
Brera Strumica
2 : 1
Kamjani
22 Aug
Pelister
0 : 0
Brera Strumica
Page 1 of 6

Rabotnicki

(Away)
02 Oct
Rabotnicki
1 : 1
Tikves
24 Sept
Teteks
0 : 1
Rabotnicki
19 Sept
Makedonija GP
0 : 1
Rabotnicki
06 Sept
Pelister
2 : 0
Rabotnicki
29 Aug
Rabotnicki
1 : 0
Gorno Lisice
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vardar 33 26 5 2 80:21 83
2 Shkendija Tetovo 33 23 5 5 67:30 74
3 Struga 33 19 5 9 68:28 62
4 Sileks 33 16 5 12 59:36 53
5 Tikves 33 14 6 13 59:47 48
6 Arsimi 33 13 7 13 50:53 46
7 Bashkimi 33 11 9 13 40:54 42
8 Pelister 33 10 10 13 41:42 40
9 Brera Strumica 33 10 10 13 46:56 40
10 Makedonija GP 33 9 7 17 42:57 34
11 Rabotnicki 33 9 6 18 45:58 33
12 Shkupi 33 0 1 32 15:130 1
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. MFL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL (Main)