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Brescia vs Genoa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly 2024 Stadio Mario Rigamonti, Brescia
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Moncini G.
46'
Sub
Bianchi F. In: Buhagiar T.
Out: Bianchi F.
46'
Sub
Olzer G. In: Galazzi N.
Out: Olzer G.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2024 game between Brescia and Genoa finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brescia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Brescia
30%
Draws
23%
Genoa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Brescia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Genoa come out ahead of Brescia on wins alone.
  • Brescia are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Brescia Clean Sheet 20%
Genoa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brescia Genoa
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 7 9
Draws 15 5
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.23 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2024 Club Friendly
Brescia vs Genoa
2:0
Mar 18, 2023 Serie B
Brescia vs Genoa
0:3
Oct 29, 2022 Serie B
Genoa vs Brescia
1:1
Jun 27, 2020 Serie A
Brescia vs Genoa
2:2
Oct 26, 2019 Serie A
Genoa vs Brescia
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brescia Compare

Top Goalscorer Moncini G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Genoa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brescia 76 / 100
Genoa 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brescia Genoa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brescia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brescia scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Genoa has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Brescia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Genoa
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Brescia

(Home)
13 May
Brescia
2 : 1
Reggiana
09 May
Modena
2 : 2
Brescia
04 May
Brescia
0 : 0
Juve Stabia
01 May
Cittadella
0 : 1
Brescia
25 Apr
Brescia
1 : 2
Pisa
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Genoa

(Away)
02 Oct
Rapid Bucuresti
2 : 0
Genoa
20 Sept
Parma
2 : 1
Genoa
15 Sept
Genoa
1 : 0
Sudtirol
12 Sept
Genoa
1 : 1
Frosinone
04 Sept
Genoa
1 : 4
Como
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