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Brescia vs Mantova - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B 2024/2025 Stadio Mario Rigamonti, Brescia
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Borrelli G.
Assist: Corrado N.
49'
Verreth M.
50' Event
Brignani F.
Assist: Fiori A.

AI Match Summary

Mantova in this Serie B 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mantova.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Brescia
35%
Draws
32%
Mantova
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Mantova have won more games recently than Brescia.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Brescia taking it.
  • Regular Serie B 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Brescia Clean Sheet 18%
Mantova Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brescia Mantova
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 7 17
Draws 15 6
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.23 2.06
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2025 Serie B
Brescia vs Mantova
1:2
Oct 6, 2024 Serie B
Mantova vs Brescia
1:1
Aug 12, 2023 Club Friendly
Mantova vs Brescia
3:0
Jul 30, 2022 Club Friendly
Brescia vs Mantova
4:1
Aug 1, 2021 Club Friendly
Brescia vs Mantova
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brescia Compare

Top Goalscorer Borrelli G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Mantova Compare

Top Goalscorer Brignani F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Radaelli N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brescia 41 / 100
Mantova 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brescia Mantova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brescia found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Mantova has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Brescia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mantova
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Brescia

(Home)
13 May
Brescia
2 : 1
Reggiana
09 May
Modena
2 : 2
Brescia
04 May
Brescia
0 : 0
Juve Stabia
01 May
Cittadella
0 : 1
Brescia
25 Apr
Brescia
1 : 2
Pisa
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Mantova

(Away)
20 Sept
Mantova
2 : 2
Pisa
13 Sept
Mantova
2 : 0
Sampdoria
06 Sept
Cesena
1 : 1
Mantova
03 Sept
Palermo
5 : 2
Mantova
30 Aug
Mantova
3 : 1
Empoli
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sassuolo 38 25 7 6 78:38 82
2 Pisa 38 23 7 8 64:36 76
3 Spezia 38 17 15 6 59:33 66
4 Cremonese 38 16 13 9 62:44 61
5 Juve Stabia 38 14 13 11 42:41 55
6 Catanzaro 38 11 20 7 51:45 53
7 Cesena 38 14 11 13 46:47 53
8 Palermo 38 14 10 14 52:43 52
9 Bari 38 10 18 10 41:40 48
10 Sudtirol 38 12 10 16 50:57 46
11 Modena 38 10 15 13 48:50 45
12 Carrarese 38 11 12 15 39:49 45
13 Reggiana 38 11 11 16 42:52 44
14 Mantova 38 10 14 14 47:56 44
15 Frosinone 38 9 16 13 37:50 43
16 Salernitana 38 11 9 18 37:47 42
17 Sampdoria 38 8 17 13 38:49 41
18 Brescia 38 9 16 13 42:48 39
19 Cittadella 38 10 9 19 30:56 39
20 Cosenza 38 7 13 18 32:56 30
Promotion - Serie A 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2024/2025 (Play Out)