Sport Picks

Italy

Serie B 2024/2025 Stadio Mario Rigamonti

Reggiana

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Brescia play Reggiana in the Serie B 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Brescia averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. Reggiana averaged 0.77 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. In past meetings, Brescia won 1, Reggiana won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on May 13, 2025 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Brescia and 0.93 for Reggiana. This points to a Brescia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%

Brescia

35%

Draws

28%

Reggiana

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Brescia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Brescia picked up more points recently compared to Reggiana.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 0.93 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 65%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 23%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%

Brescia Clean Sheet 24%

Reggiana Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 59%

Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Brescia	Reggiana
Matches Played	29	31
Wins	5	6
Draws	15	7
Losses	9	18
Goals Scored	0.97	0.77
Goals Conceded	1.17	1.52

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2025 Serie B

Brescia vs Reggiana

Possession: 60% - 51% Cards: 1 - 4

2:1

Aug 27, 2024 Serie B

Reggiana vs Brescia

Possession: 46% - 45% Cards: 0 - 1

2:0

Feb 24, 2024 Serie B

Brescia vs Reggiana

Possession: 42% - 50% Cards: 3 - 3

0:0

Dec 10, 2023 Serie B

Reggiana vs Brescia

Possession: 59% - 58% Cards: 0 - 2

1:1

Aug 7, 2021 Club Friendly

Brescia vs Reggiana

Possession: 51% - 40% Cards: 1 - 2

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brescia Compare

Top Goalscorer Bianchi F.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Verreth M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Reggiana Compare

Top Goalscorer Girma N.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brescia 38 / 100

Reggiana 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Brescia Reggiana

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Brescia or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +27.6%

3.45

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +18.9%

3.13

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Brescia attacking → ← attacking Reggiana

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brescia scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Reggiana let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Brescia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Reggiana lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 25

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sassuolo	38	25	7	6	78:38	82
2	Pisa	38	23	7	8	64:36	76
3	Spezia	38	17	15	6	59:33	66
4	Cremonese	38	16	13	9	62:44	61
5	Juve Stabia	38	14	13	11	42:41	55
6	Catanzaro	38	11	20	7	51:45	53
7	Cesena	38	14	11	13	46:47	53
8	Palermo	38	14	10	14	52:43	52
9	Bari	38	10	18	10	41:40	48
10	Sudtirol	38	12	10	16	50:57	46
11	Modena	38	10	15	13	48:50	45
12	Carrarese	38	11	12	15	39:49	45
13	Reggiana	38	11	11	16	42:52	44
14	Mantova	38	10	14	14	47:56	44
15	Frosinone	38	9	16	13	37:50	43
16	Salernitana	38	11	9	18	37:47	42
17	Sampdoria	38	8	17	13	38:49	41
18	Brescia	38	9	16	13	42:48	39
19	Cittadella	38	10	9	19	30:56	39
20	Cosenza	38	7	13	18	32:56	30