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Brest Malorita vs Pershiy Region - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Division 2 - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Fedortsov D.
18' Event
Golovchik S.
45' Event
Golovchik S.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Group A game between Brest Malorita and Pershiy Region finished 9-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brest Malorita.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Brest Malorita
15%
Draws
0%
Pershiy Region
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brest Malorita

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Brest Malorita come out ahead of Pershiy Region on wins alone.
  • Brest Malorita are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Brest Malorita Clean Sheet 68%
Pershiy Region Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brest Malorita Pershiy Region
Matches Played 28 23
Wins 15 4
Draws 2 2
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 3.36 0.74
Goals Conceded 1.61 4.3
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2020 Division 2 - Group A
Pershiy Region vs Brest Malorita
2:4
Jul 4, 2020 Division 2 - Group A
Brest Malorita vs Pershiy Region
9:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brest Malorita Compare

Top Goalscorer Fedortsov D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Golovchik S.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.08
Avg xA / game 2

Pershiy Region Compare

Top Goalscorer Smolevskiy M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brest Malorita 95 / 100
Pershiy Region 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brest Malorita Pershiy Region

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brest Malorita Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brest Malorita found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

Pershiy Region let in goals in 87% of their last 23 matches.

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

Pershiy Region's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Brest Malorita VS Pershiy Region
4 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 4.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Brest Malorita

(Home)
12 Feb
Belshina
5 : 2
Brest Malorita
11 Feb
Dynamo Brest
2 : 0
Brest Malorita
23 Jun
Brest Malorita
1 : 2
Slutsk
29 May
Brest Malorita
11 : 0
Kostyukovichy
24 Oct
Gorki
2 : 1
Brest Malorita
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Pershiy Region

(Away)
24 Oct
Polotsk
3 : 0
Pershiy Region
17 Oct
Pershiy Region
0 : 3
Polotsk
10 Oct
Ivatsevichi
3 : 0
Pershiy Region
07 Oct
Ostrovets
3 : 0
Pershiy Region
03 Oct
Molodechno
3 : 0
Pershiy Region
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Molodechno 20 15 3 2 59:18 48
2 FK Baranovici 20 14 2 4 74:24 44
3 Stanles Pinsk 20 13 4 3 61:24 43
4 Brest Malorita 20 13 2 5 71:29 41
5 Ostrovets 20 11 2 7 48:25 35
6 Meliorator Zhitkovichi 20 11 2 7 43:29 35
7 Ivatsevichi 20 8 2 10 42:52 26
8 BGU Minsk 20 4 3 13 35:45 15
9 Pershiy Region 20 4 2 14 17:78 14
10 Kronon Stolbtsy 20 2 6 12 22:65 12
11 Chayka Zelva 20 0 2 18 12:95 2
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