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Stadium Background

Brest vs Strasbourg

France France

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Stade Francis-Le Blé, Brest
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Barco V.
Assist: Nanasi S.
13' Event
Ajorque L.
Assist: Lala K.
20' Event
Nanasi S.
Assist: Enciso J.

AI Match Summary

Strasbourg in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Strasbourg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Brest
30%
Draws
42%
Strasbourg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Strasbourg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Brest haven't matched Strasbourg's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Brest a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Brest Clean Sheet 17%
Strasbourg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brest Strasbourg
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 10 5
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.34 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Ligue 1
Brest vs Strasbourg
1:2
Nov 30, 2025 Ligue 1
Strasbourg vs Brest
1:2
Feb 23, 2025 Ligue 1
Strasbourg vs Brest
0:0
Nov 30, 2024 Ligue 1
Brest vs Strasbourg
3:1
Feb 24, 2024 Ligue 1
Strasbourg vs Brest
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brest Compare

Top Goalscorer Ajorque L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Strasbourg Compare

Top Goalscorer Barco V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nanasi S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brest 36 / 100
Strasbourg 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brest Strasbourg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Strasbourg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Brest scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Brest has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Brest VS Strasbourg
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Brest

(Home)
05 Sept
Le Havre
1 : 2
Brest
29 Aug
Brest
2 : 2
Toulouse
22 Aug
Le Mans
2 : 2
Brest
16 Aug
Nottingham
2 : 0
Brest
08 Aug
Brest
2 : 2
Venezia
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Strasbourg

(Away)
06 Sept
Troyes
2 : 6
Strasbourg
29 Aug
Strasbourg
2 : 1
Lens
21 Aug
Marseille
4 : 0
Strasbourg
16 Aug
Newcastle Utd
1 : 2
Strasbourg
08 Aug
Freiburg
2 : 0
Strasbourg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSG 34 24 4 6 74:29 76
2 Lens 34 22 4 8 66:35 70
3 Lille 34 18 7 9 52:37 61
4 Lyon 34 18 6 10 53:40 60
5 Marseille 34 18 5 11 63:45 59
6 Rennes 34 17 8 9 59:50 59
7 Monaco 34 16 6 12 60:54 54
8 Strasbourg 34 15 8 11 58:47 53
9 Toulouse 34 12 9 13 47:46 45
10 Lorient 34 11 12 11 48:51 45
11 Paris FC 34 11 11 12 47:50 44
12 Brest 34 10 9 15 43:55 39
13 Angers 34 9 9 16 29:48 36
14 Le Havre 34 7 14 13 32:44 35
15 Auxerre 34 8 10 16 34:44 34
16 Nice 34 7 11 16 37:60 32
17 Nantes 34 5 9 20 29:52 24
18 Metz 34 3 8 23 32:76 17
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)