Sport Picks

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Brest vs Concarneau

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Ajorque L.
34' Event
Ajorque L.
79' Event
Halby J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Brest
35%
Draws
42%
Concarneau
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Concarneau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Concarneau lately — more wins on the board than Brest.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Brest Clean Sheet 12%
Concarneau Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brest Concarneau
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 8 11
Draws 10 13
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.37 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Brest vs Concarneau
2:2
Jul 11, 2025 Club Friendly
Concarneau vs Brest
1:2
Jul 22, 2023 Club Friendly
Brest vs Concarneau
2:1
Dec 2, 2017 Coupe de France
Concarneau vs Brest
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brest Compare

Top Goalscorer Ajorque L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Concarneau Compare

Top Goalscorer Halby J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Varvat J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brest 30 / 100
Concarneau 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brest Concarneau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Concarneau Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Brest scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Concarneau's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 33 matches.

Recent resilience: Brest stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Brest VS Concarneau
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Brest

(Home)
20 Sept
Auxerre
2 : 1
Brest
13 Sept
Brest
0 : 1
PSG
05 Sept
Le Havre
1 : 2
Brest
29 Aug
Brest
2 : 2
Toulouse
22 Aug
Le Mans
2 : 2
Brest
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Concarneau

(Away)
26 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
1 : 1
Concarneau
19 Sept
Concarneau
2 : 0
Caen
12 Sept
Aubagne FC
1 : 2
Concarneau
05 Sept
Concarneau
2 : 2
Thionville
29 Aug
Valenciennes
0 : 0
Concarneau
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