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Brest vs Lyon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 1 Stade Francis-Le Blé, Brest
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
04:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Brest host Lyon in the Ligue 1. Little to choose between these two on current form. Lyon have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while Brest have conceded 1.71 and scored 1.43. Past meetings favor Lyon slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 18, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.56, favoring Lyon. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Brest
20%
Draws
51%
Lyon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lyon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Brest haven't matched Lyon's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Brest's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Brest Clean Sheet 15%
Lyon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brest Lyon
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 6 16
Draws 11 6
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.43 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Ligue 1
Lyon vs Brest
2:1
Nov 2, 2025 Ligue 1
Brest vs Lyon
0:0
Mar 2, 2025 Ligue 1
Lyon vs Brest
2:1
Jan 11, 2025 Ligue 1
Brest vs Lyon
2:1
Apr 14, 2024 Ligue 1
Lyon vs Brest
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brest 66 / 100
Lyon 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brest Lyon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brest Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Brest scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Lyon let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Solid form: Brest remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Brest VS Lyon
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Brest

(Home)
23 Oct
Brest
1 : 2
Nice
17 Oct
Lille
1 : 1
Brest
10 Oct
Brest
5 : 1
Angers
03 Oct
Brest
2 : 2
Monza
20 Sept
Auxerre
2 : 1
Brest
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Lyon

(Away)
01 Nov
Lyon
2 : 0
Angers
26 Oct
PSG
2 : 0
Lyon
22 Oct
Hoffenheim
3 : 0
Lyon
18 Oct
Lyon
2 : 1
Nice
15 Oct
Lyon
3 : 2
Crystal Palace
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSG 9 6 2 1 21:10 20
2 Lille 9 5 3 1 12:6 18
3 Lyon 9 5 2 2 15:7 17
4 Paris FC 9 5 2 2 16:10 17
5 Rennes 9 5 1 3 20:19 16
6 Marseille 9 5 0 4 20:13 15
7 Monaco 9 4 3 2 12:10 15
8 Nice 9 4 2 3 13:12 14
9 Lens 9 4 1 4 16:13 13
10 Lorient 8 3 3 2 7:6 12
11 Toulouse 9 2 4 3 12:13 10
12 Strasbourg 9 3 1 5 17:19 10
13 Auxerre 9 3 1 5 13:23 10
14 Brest 8 2 3 3 14:12 9
15 Angers 9 2 2 5 9:17 8
16 Troyes 9 2 2 5 7:16 8
17 Le Mans 9 1 4 4 11:18 7
18 Le Havre 9 0 2 7 9:20 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)