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Breznica W vs Birkirkara W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Champions League Women 2023/2024 Centenary Stadium, Ta' Qali
Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Simonovic A.
51'
Mifsud V.
70'
Sub
Zahra G. In: Garcia Falero E.
Out: Zahra G.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Birkirkara W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Breznica W
15%
Draws
57%
Birkirkara W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Birkirkara W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Birkirkara W come out ahead of Breznica W on wins alone.
  • 28% — that's where the model lands on Breznica W taking it.
  • Birkirkara W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Birkirkara W, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Breznica W Clean Sheet 14%
Birkirkara W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Breznica W Birkirkara W
Matches Played 19 25
Wins 2 3
Draws 4 1
Losses 13 21
Goals Scored 1.16 0.56
Goals Conceded 3.63 4.12
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2024 UEFA Champions League Women
Breznica W vs Birkirkara W
1:2
Sep 6, 2023 UEFA Champions League Women
Breznica W vs Birkirkara W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Breznica W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Birkirkara W Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia Falero E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Breznica W 57 / 100
Birkirkara W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Breznica W Birkirkara W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Breznica W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Birkirkara W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 96% of 25 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Birkirkara W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Breznica W found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (19 games).

Scoring Trends

Breznica W VS Birkirkara W
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
2.63 Goals Conceded 3.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Breznica W

(Home)
07 Sept
Crvena zvezda W
3 : 0
Breznica W
04 Sept
Breznica W
1 : 2
Birkirkara W
06 Sept
Breznica W
0 : 1
Birkirkara W
18 Aug
Breznica W
2 : 3
Myjava W
21 Aug
Breznica W
3 : 2
Hayasa W
Page 1 of 4

Birkirkara W

(Away)
07 Sept
RSC Anderlecht W
5 : 0
Birkirkara W
04 Sept
Breznica W
1 : 2
Birkirkara W
09 Sept
Zurich W
3 : 1
Birkirkara W
06 Sept
Breznica W
0 : 1
Birkirkara W
06 Jan
Birkirkara W
0 : 10
Manchester United W
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
ZNK Mura W 0
Samegrelo W 1
Apollon Limassol W 9
Ljuboten W 0
BIIK Shymkent W 0
RFS W 1
SL Benfica W 8
Cliftonville W 1
Zurich W -
TBD -
Breznica W 0
Birkirkara W 1
Ajax W -
TBD -
Din. Minsk W 9
Agarista-SS Anenii Noi W 0
AS Roma W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vorskla Poltava W 4
Flora W 3
SFK 2000 Sarajevo W 0
Osijek W 4
Valur W 2
Fomget Genclik Ve Spor W 1
Vllaznia W 4
KFF Hajvalia W 2
St. Polten W -
TBD -
PAOK W 6
Racing Luxembourg W 1
Slavia Prague W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ferencvaros W 2
Kiryat Gat W 3
Olimpia Cluj W 6
Myjava W 2
Gintra Universitetas W 2
Cardiff City W 0
Glasgow City W 2
Shelbourne W 0
RSC Anderlecht W 5
GKS Katowice W 0
Brann W 5
Lok. St. Zagora W 0
Koge W 1
KuPS W 2
Spartak Subotica W 7
KI Klaksvik W 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rosengard W -
Hacken W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Twente W 6
Sturm Graz W 0
Levante W 4
Stjarnan W 0
Real Madrid W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brondby W 0
Celtic W 1
Minsk FK W 1
Valerenga W 3
Juventus W 6
Okzhetpes W 0
Eintracht Frankfurt W 1
Slovacko W 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sparta Prague W -
Paris FC W 4
Kryvbas W 0
Arsenal W 3
Linkoping W 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wolfsburg W -
Manchester United W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PSG W -
Semi-finals
Samegrelo W 0
Apollon Limassol W 3
RFS W 0
SL Benfica W 4
Zurich W 3
Birkirkara W 1
Ajax W 3
Din. Minsk W 0
AS Roma W -
TBD -
Vorskla Poltava W 3
Osijek W 0
Valur W 2
Vllaznia W 1
St. Polten W 3
PAOK W 0
Slavia Prague W -
TBD -
Kiryat Gat W 0
Olimpia Cluj W 1
Gintra Universitetas W 0
Glasgow City W 3
RSC Anderlecht W 0
Brann W 3
KuPS W 1
Spartak Subotica W 2
TBD -
Rosengard W -
Hacken W -
TBD -
Twente W 3
Levante W 2
Real Madrid W -
TBD -
Celtic W 2
Valerenga W 3
Juventus W 1
Eintracht Frankfurt W 2
TBD -
Sparta Prague W -
Paris FC W 4
Arsenal W 3
TBD -
Wolfsburg W -
Manchester United W -
TBD -
TBD -
PSG W -
Final
Apollon Limassol W 0
SL Benfica W 11
Zurich W 0
Ajax W 8
AS Roma W 9
Vorskla Poltava W 1
Valur W 1
St. Polten W 4
Slavia Prague W 11
Olimpia Cluj W 0
Glasgow City W 0
Brann W 6
Spartak Subotica W 2
Rosengard W 7
Hacken W 4
Twente W 3
Real Madrid W 5
Valerenga W 1
Eintracht Frankfurt W 8
Sparta Prague W 0
Paris FC W 5
Wolfsburg W 3
Manchester United W 2
PSG W 4