Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Brighouse Town W vs AFC Fylde W

England England

Women's National League North 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Brighouse Town W play AFC Fylde W in the Women's National League North 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Brighouse Town W averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. AFC Fylde W averaged 1.12 goals scored and 2.82 conceded. In past meetings, Brighouse Town W won 1, AFC Fylde W won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 26, 2023 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.48 for Brighouse Town W and 1.11 for AFC Fylde W. This points to a Brighouse Town W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Brighouse Town W
24%
Draws
27%
AFC Fylde W
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Brighouse Town W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Brighouse Town W picked up more points recently compared to AFC Fylde W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.48 vs 1.11 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
Brighouse Town W Clean Sheet 21%
AFC Fylde W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brighouse Town W AFC Fylde W
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 10 7
Draws 11 4
Losses 9 23
Goals Scored 1.23 1.12
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.82

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2023 Women's National League North
Brighouse Town W vs AFC Fylde W
5:0
Aug 21, 2022 Women's National League North
AFC Fylde W vs Brighouse Town W
0:0
Mar 13, 2022 Women's National League North
Brighouse Town W vs AFC Fylde W
0:1
Oct 31, 2021 Women's National League North
AFC Fylde W vs Brighouse Town W
5:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brighouse Town W 48 / 100
AFC Fylde W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brighouse Town W AFC Fylde W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Brighouse Town W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Brighouse Town W attacking → ← attacking AFC Fylde W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brighouse Town W scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

AFC Fylde W let in goals in 85% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Brighouse Town W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

AFC Fylde W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 25
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Nottingham W22173281:1854
2Wolverhampton W22173261:1754
3Burnley W22164266:2852
4Derby W22115650:3238
5Brighouse Town W2287728:2731
6Huddersfield W22751036:4326
7AFC Fylde W22751024:5426
8West Brom W22741128:4625
9Liverpool Feds W22731236:4524
10Stoke City LFC W22731232:4924
11Boldmere St Michaels W22511627:6116
12Loughborough Lightning W22031910:593