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Brighton U21 vs Lyon II

Europe Europe

Premier League International Cup 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Atom N.
Assist: O'Mahony M.
45' Event
Atom N.
Own Goal
63' Event
O'Mahony M.
Assist: Peupion C.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Brighton U21 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Brighton U21
20%
Draws
48%
Lyon II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lyon II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Lyon II haven't matched Brighton U21's recent run of results.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Lyon II taking it.
  • Brighton U21 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Brighton U21, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Brighton U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Lyon II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brighton U21 Lyon II
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.72 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 20, 2023 Premier League International Cup
Brighton U21 vs Lyon II
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brighton U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Atom N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader O'Mahony M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

Lyon II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brighton U21 24 / 100
Lyon II 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brighton U21 Lyon II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lyon II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brighton U21 found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (32 games).

Lyon II has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Brighton U21 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Brighton U21 VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Brighton U21

(Home)
19 Sept
Liverpool U21
5 : 1
Brighton U21
16 Sept
Brighton U21
2 : 1
PSG U21
11 Sept
Brighton U21
3 : 0
Leicester U21
04 Sept
West Ham U21
1 : 1
Brighton U21
31 Aug
Brighton U21
2 : 2
Arsenal U21
Page 1 of 7

Lyon II

(Away)
07 May
Nottingham U21
1 : 0
Lyon II
22 Apr
Fulham U21
0 : 2
Lyon II
11 Mar
Lyon II
3 : 0
Valencia B
03 Dec
West Ham U21
0 : 2
Lyon II
30 Oct
Middlesbrough U21
0 : 1
Lyon II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wolves U21 4 3 1 0 8:4 10
2 Jong PSV 4 3 0 1 16:6 9
3 Hertha Berlin II 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
4 Blackburn U21 4 2 0 2 9:9 6
5 Nottingham U21 4 2 0 2 5:7 6
6 Leeds U21 4 2 0 2 6:11 6
7 Sparta Prague U21 4 1 0 3 7:10 3
8 Nice II 4 0 0 4 3:9 0
Promotion - Premier League International Cup 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brighton U21 4 4 0 0 11:7 12
2 West Ham U21 4 3 1 0 10:1 10
3 Chelsea U21 4 2 1 1 9:6 7
4 Lyon II 4 2 1 1 9:7 7
5 Valencia B 4 1 1 2 5:5 4
6 Celtic U23 4 1 0 3 7:13 3
7 Southampton U21 4 0 1 3 6:11 1
8 Dinamo Zagreb 2 4 0 1 3 4:11 1
Promotion - Premier League International Cup 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fulham U21 4 4 0 0 10:4 12
2 Everton U21 4 3 1 0 7:3 10
3 Crystal Palace U21 4 2 2 0 7:4 8
4 Ath Bilbao B 4 1 1 2 5:5 4
5 Liverpool U21 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
6 Monaco II 4 1 0 3 6:10 3
7 Jong Feyenoord 4 0 2 2 3:7 2
8 Benfica B 4 0 1 3 4:8 1
Promotion - Premier League International Cup 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams