Sport Picks
Brighton W vs Aston Villa W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
WSL Amex Stadium, Brighton 
Match Events
20'
20'
Haley M.
31'
31'
George G.
57'
57'
Sub
Murphy E. In: Tvedten O.
Out: Murphy E.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this WSL matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aston Villa W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Brighton W lately — more wins on the board than Aston Villa W.
- Model gives Brighton W a 33% chance of winning this.
- Regular WSL form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Brighton W Clean Sheet 15%
Aston Villa W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Brighton W | Aston Villa W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.4 | 1.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 2.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 WSL
Brighton W vs Aston Villa W
1:1
Jan 11, 2026 WSL
Aston Villa W vs Brighton W
2:1
Sep 7, 2025 WSL
Brighton W vs Aston Villa W
0:0
May 10, 2025 WSL
Aston Villa W vs Brighton W
3:1
Feb 8, 2025 Women’s FA Cup
Aston Villa W vs Brighton W
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Brighton W Compare
Top Goalscorer George G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Aston Villa W Compare
Top Goalscorer Wilms L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Brighton W 57 / 100
Aston Villa W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Brighton W Aston Villa W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Brighton W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Aston Villa W conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.
Brighton W's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Brighton W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Brighton W VS Aston Villa W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Brighton W
(Home) 04 Oct
Brighton W
5 : 1 Charlton W
30 Sept
Brighton W
0 : 1 Tottenham W
26 Sept
London City Lionesses W
2 : 0 Brighton W
23 Sept
Brighton W
4 : 0 Charlton W
20 Sept
Brighton W
1 : 1 Aston Villa W
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04 Oct
Brighton W
5 : 1 Charlton W
30 Sept
Brighton W
0 : 1 Tottenham W
23 Sept
Brighton W
4 : 0 Charlton W
20 Sept
Brighton W
1 : 1 Aston Villa W
06 Sept
Brighton W
0 : 1 Arsenal W
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Aston Villa W
(Away) 04 Oct
Aston Villa W
1 : 1 Crystal Palace W
30 Sept
Aston Villa W
3 : 1 Newcastle Utd W
27 Sept
Tottenham W
4 : 0 Aston Villa W
23 Sept
Nottingham W
0 : 2 Aston Villa W
20 Sept
Brighton W
1 : 1 Aston Villa W
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27 Sept
Tottenham W
4 : 0 Aston Villa W
23 Sept
Nottingham W
0 : 2 Aston Villa W
20 Sept
Brighton W
1 : 1 Aston Villa W
05 Sept
Chelsea W
1 : 1 Aston Villa W
21 Aug
OL Lyonnes W
3 : 1 Aston Villa W
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City W | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16:6 | 15 |
| 2 | Chelsea W | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12:1 | 13 |
| 3 | London City Lionesses W | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15:5 | 12 |
| 4 | Tottenham W | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16:8 | 10 |
| 5 | Everton W | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 9 |
| 6 | Liverpool W | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | 7 |
| 7 | Manchester United W | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | 7 |
| 8 | Crystal Palace W | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:11 | 6 |
| 9 | Brighton W | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:7 | 5 |
| 10 | Arsenal W | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 11 | West Ham W | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:10 | 3 |
| 12 | Aston Villa W | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4:11 | 3 |
| 13 | Birmingham W | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7:12 | 2 |
| 14 | Charlton W | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2:15 | 0 |
Relegation - WSL (Relegation)
Relegation - WSL 2 2027/2028 (Main)
