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Brighton W vs Charlton W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Women's League Cup 2025/2026 The Broadfield Stadium, Crawley
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
McAteer M.
Assist: Bissell E.
41'
Kafaji R.
46'
Sub
Newsham C. In: Fitzgerald L.
Out: Newsham C.

AI Match Summary

Charlton W in this Women's League Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Brighton W
15%
Draws
0%
Charlton W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brighton W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Brighton W haven't matched Charlton W's recent run of results.
  • Brighton W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Charlton W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Brighton W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Brighton W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Brighton W Clean Sheet 68%
Charlton W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brighton W Charlton W
Matches Played 31 35
Wins 12 16
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.45 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.51
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 WSL
Brighton W vs Charlton W
5:1
Sep 23, 2026 Women's League Cup
Brighton W vs Charlton W
4:0
Nov 12, 2025 Women's League Cup
Brighton W vs Charlton W
0:1
Jan 24, 2024 Women's League Cup
Charlton W vs Brighton W
1:2
Sep 29, 2021 Women’s FA Cup
Brighton W vs Charlton W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brighton W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Charlton W Compare

Top Goalscorer McAteer M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brighton W 95 / 100
Charlton W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brighton W Charlton W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brighton W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Charlton W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Brighton W's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Charlton W conceded in 74% of 35 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Brighton W VS Charlton W
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Brighton W

(Home)
04 Oct
Brighton W
5 : 1
Charlton W
30 Sept
Brighton W
0 : 1
Tottenham W
26 Sept
London City Lionesses W
2 : 0
Brighton W
23 Sept
Brighton W
4 : 0
Charlton W
20 Sept
Brighton W
1 : 1
Aston Villa W
Page 1 of 7

Charlton W

(Away)
04 Oct
Brighton W
5 : 1
Charlton W
30 Sept
Crystal Palace W
3 : 0
Charlton W
26 Sept
Charlton W
0 : 1
Manchester City W
23 Sept
Brighton W
4 : 0
Charlton W
19 Sept
Charlton W
1 : 4
London City Lionesses W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City W 3 3 0 0 8:4 8
2 Everton W 3 2 0 1 5:5 5
3 Nottingham W 3 1 0 2 3:4 4
4 Newcastle Utd W 3 0 0 3 5:8 1
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Liverpool W 3 3 0 0 11:2 9
2 Sheffield Utd W 3 2 0 1 3:5 5
3 Durham W 3 0 0 3 3:4 2
4 Sunderland W 3 1 0 2 1:7 2
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham W 4 3 0 1 12:4 9
2 Charlton W 4 3 0 1 7:6 9
3 Brighton W 4 2 0 2 6:3 6
4 Portsmouth W 4 1 0 3 2:6 3
5 Southampton FC W 4 1 0 3 2:10 3
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crystal Palace W 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
2 Leicester W 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 London City Lionesses W 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
4 Ipswich W 3 0 0 3 3:10 0
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tottenham W 3 3 0 0 4:0 8
2 Aston Villa W 3 1 0 2 6:3 5
3 Birmingham W 3 2 0 1 5:8 4
4 Bristol City W 3 0 0 3 2:6 1
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)