Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Brighton W vs Nottingham W

England England

Women’s FA Cup The Broadfield Stadium, Crawley
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Kafaji R.
35'
Sub
Claypole A. In: Wellings C.
Out: Claypole A.
45' Event
Haley M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Brighton W
35%
Draws
52%
Nottingham W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nottingham W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nottingham W come out ahead of Brighton W on wins alone.
  • Brighton W are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Nottingham W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Brighton W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Brighton W Clean Sheet 17%
Nottingham W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brighton W Nottingham W
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.36 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Women’s FA Cup
Brighton W vs Nottingham W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brighton W Compare

Top Goalscorer Cankovic J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Nottingham W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brighton W 36 / 100
Nottingham W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brighton W Nottingham W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brighton W found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Nottingham W conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Brighton W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Brighton W VS Nottingham W
1.38 Goals Scored 0.86
2 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 57%
63% Over 2.5 43%
50% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Brighton W

(Home)
13 Sept
Birmingham W
2 : 2
Brighton W
06 Sept
Brighton W
0 : 1
Arsenal W
21 Aug
Barcelona W
3 : 1
Brighton W
09 Aug
Brighton W
1 : 1
PSG W
31 May
Brighton W
0 : 4
Manchester City W
Page 1 of 6

Nottingham W

(Away)
20 Sept
Durham W
1 : 2
Nottingham W
13 Sept
Nottingham W
2 : 2
Watford W
06 Sept
Ipswich W
1 : 1
Nottingham W
02 May
Nottingham W
0 : 3
Southampton FC W
26 Apr
Portsmouth W
0 : 1
Nottingham W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Hashtag W 1
Oxford Utd W 2
Luton W 3
Mansfield W 0
Plymouth W 7
Maidstone W 0
Winchester City W 0
Gwalia United W 4
Middlesbrough W 4
Cheadle Town W 0
Northampton W 3
Sudbury W 2
South Shields W 0
AFC Fylde W 5
Kidderminster W 1
Redditch Borough FC W 0
Charlton W -
TBD -
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Actonians W 0
Watford W 5
Saltdean United W 1
Bromley W 0
Leafield Athletic W 8
Crusaders W 0
Port Vale W 1
Worcester W 2
Oxford City W 4
Sherborne Town W 2
Swindon W 1
Dulwich Hamlet W 0
Dartford W 5
Forest Green W 1
Keynsham Town W 1
Bournemouth Sports W 0
London Bees W 5
Barking W 3
Portishead Town W 1
Billericay W 0
TBD -
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Liverpool W -
Huddersfield W 4
Wythenshawe FC W 2
Leeds W 5
St Helens W 1
Solihull Moors W 0
West Brom W 3
Nottingham University W 1
Cambridge Utd W 2
TBD -
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Everton W -
Mancunian Unity W 3
International Soccer Academy W 2
Durham Cestria W 6
Dronfield Town W 1
Lincoln Utd. W 1
Stourbridge W 3
Halifax W 1
Hull City W 4
Birmingham W -
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Sporting Khalsa W 2
Loughborough Lightning W 1
Hednesford W 2
SJR Worksop W 1
Bowers & Pitsea W 3
Wimborne W 2
Brentford W 1
Sutton W 2
Torquay W 0
Exeter W 6
AFC Wimbledon W 3
Chatham W 4
Bolton W 1
Ponteland United W 2
Penrith W 2
Altrincham W 3
York City W 1
Leeds Modernians W 0
Wroxham W 3
Lye Town W 0
Farnham W 0
Leyton Orient W 8
Millbrook W 0
Bournemouth W 11
Haringey Borough W 0
Bristol Rovers W 3
Fulham W 5
South London W 0
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Manchester City W -
Portchester W 6
Gloucester City W 2
Worthing FC W 4
Abingdon W 1
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Ipswich W -
Durham W -
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Sheffield Utd W -
Chelsea W -
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Millwall W 0
Cheltenham W 2
Lewes W 4
Corsham Town W 0
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Crystal Palace W -
Manchester United W -
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Burnley W 12
Blackburn W 0
Stevenage W 3
Norwich W 4
Peterborough W 4
Real Bedford W 1
Manchester Laces W 1
Wallsend W 3
Coventry Sphinx W 0
Derby W 6
Stockport W 3
Tranmere W 0
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Sunderland W -
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London City Lionesses W -
Tottenham W -
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Leicester W -
Arsenal W -
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Aston Villa W -
Southampton FC W -
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Wycombe W 1
Bridgwater United W 2
Royston Town W 1
Coundon Court W 0
Bristol City W -
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Portsmouth W -
Newcastle Utd W -
TBD -
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Liverpool Feds W 4
Chester-Le-Street Town W 0
Crewe W 1
Boldmere St Michaels W 2
TBD -
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West Ham W -
Brighton W -
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Wolverhampton W 2
Rugby Borough W 1
Stoke City LFC W 7
Sutton Coldfield Town W 0
TBD -
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Nottingham W -
1/64-finals
Oxford Utd W 3
Luton W 1
Plymouth W 2
Gwalia United W 0
Middlesbrough W 3
Northampton W 0
AFC Fylde W 4
Kidderminster W 0
Charlton W -
TBD -
Watford W 4
Saltdean United W 0
Leafield Athletic W 2
Worcester W 1
Oxford City W 0
Swindon W 3
Dartford W 2
Keynsham Town W 1
London Bees W 5
Portishead Town W 0
TBD -
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Liverpool W -
Huddersfield W 1
Leeds W 3
West Brom W 2
Cambridge Utd W 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Everton W -
Mancunian Unity W 2
Durham Cestria W 1
Stourbridge W 1
Hull City W 7
Birmingham W -
TBD -
Sporting Khalsa W 2
Hednesford W 0
Bowers & Pitsea W 2
Sutton W 3
Exeter W 2
Chatham W 3
Ponteland United W 0
Altrincham W 1
York City W 3
Wroxham W 1
Leyton Orient W 1
Bournemouth W 7
Bristol Rovers W 1
Fulham W 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Manchester City W -
Portchester W 4
Worthing FC W 1
TBD -
Ipswich W -
Durham W -
TBD -
TBD -
Sheffield Utd W -
Chelsea W -
TBD -
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Cheltenham W 0
Lewes W 4
TBD -
Crystal Palace W -
Manchester United W -
TBD -
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Burnley W 4
Norwich W 0
Peterborough W 4
Wallsend W 0
Derby W 4
Stockport W 1
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Sunderland W -
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London City Lionesses W -
Tottenham W -
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Leicester W -
Arsenal W -
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Aston Villa W -
Southampton FC W -
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Bridgwater United W 1
Royston Town W 2
Bristol City W -
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Portsmouth W -
Newcastle Utd W -
TBD -
Liverpool Feds W 5
Boldmere St Michaels W 0
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West Ham W -
Brighton W -
TBD -
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Wolverhampton W 2
Stoke City LFC W 0
TBD -
Nottingham W -
1/32-finals
Oxford Utd W 2
Plymouth W 1
Middlesbrough W 3
AFC Fylde W 0
Charlton W 3
Watford W 2
Leafield Athletic W 2
Swindon W 3
Dartford W 2
London Bees W 3
TBD -
Liverpool W -
Leeds W 0
West Brom W 3
TBD -
Everton W -
Mancunian Unity W 1
Hull City W 2
Birmingham W 6
Sporting Khalsa W 0
Sutton W 0
Chatham W 3
Altrincham W 0
York City W 3
Bournemouth W 5
Fulham W 0
TBD -
Manchester City W -
Portchester W 0
Ipswich W 5
Durham W 0
Sheffield Utd W 1
Chelsea W -
TBD -
Lewes W 0
Crystal Palace W 1
Manchester United W -
TBD -
Burnley W 7
Peterborough W 0
Derby W 1
Sunderland W 5
TBD -
London City Lionesses W -
Tottenham W -
TBD -
TBD -
Leicester W -
Arsenal W -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa W -
Southampton FC W 10
Royston Town W 0
Bristol City W 2
Portsmouth W 0
Newcastle Utd W 4
Liverpool Feds W 0
TBD -
West Ham W -
Brighton W -
TBD -
Wolverhampton W 1
Nottingham W 2
1/16-finals
Oxford Utd W 3
Middlesbrough W 1
Charlton W 10
Swindon W 0
London Bees W 0
Liverpool W 6
West Brom W 0
Everton W 5
Hull City W 2
Birmingham W 6
Chatham W 3
York City W 0
Bournemouth W 0
Manchester City W 6
Ipswich W 1
Sheffield Utd W 2
Chelsea W 5
Crystal Palace W 0
Manchester United W 5
Burnley W 0
Sunderland W 0
London City Lionesses W 1
Tottenham W 3
Leicester W 0
Arsenal W 2
Aston Villa W 0
Southampton FC W 1
Bristol City W 2
Newcastle Utd W 0
West Ham W 3
Brighton W 2
Nottingham W 0
1/8-finals
Oxford Utd W 0
Charlton W 1
Liverpool W 2
Everton W 1
Birmingham W 8
Chatham W 0
Manchester City W 4
Sheffield Utd W 0
Chelsea W 2
Manchester United W 1
London City Lionesses W 2
Tottenham W 3
Arsenal W 3
Bristol City W 0
West Ham W 1
Brighton W 2
Quarter-finals
Charlton W 0
Liverpool W 1
Arsenal W 0
Brighton W 2
Chelsea W 2
Tottenham W 1
Birmingham W 0
Manchester City W 1
Semi-finals
Liverpool W 2
Brighton W 3
Chelsea W 2
Manchester City W 3
Final
Brighton W 0
Manchester City W 4