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Brindisi vs Martina Calcio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 Franco Fanuzzi, Brindisi
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Rajkovic M.
72' Event
Citro N.
89' Event
Rajkovic M.

AI Match Summary

Brindisi in this Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Brindisi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Brindisi
15%
Draws
49%
Martina Calcio
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Martina Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Martina Calcio lately — more wins on the board than Brindisi.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Brindisi Clean Sheet 18%
Martina Calcio Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brindisi Martina Calcio
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 17
Draws 9 5
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.59 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.32
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Brindisi vs Martina Calcio
3:1
Oct 23, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Martina Calcio vs Brindisi
0:0
Feb 5, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Brindisi vs Martina Calcio
0:1
Oct 2, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Martina Calcio vs Brindisi
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brindisi Compare

Top Goalscorer Rajkovic M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Citro N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Martina Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Russo S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brindisi 36 / 100
Martina Calcio 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brindisi Martina Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Martina Calcio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Brindisi scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Martina Calcio has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Brindisi stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Brindisi VS Martina Calcio
1.14 Goals Scored 1.5
1.14 Goals Conceded 1.25
57% Over 1.5 75%
57% Over 2.5 50%
14% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Brindisi

(Home)
04 Oct
Brindisi
3 : 0
Real Normanna
27 Sept
Francavilla
0 : 1
Brindisi
20 Sept
Brindisi
1 : 2
Turris
16 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 1
Brindisi
12 Sept
Brindisi
1 : 0
Fidelis Andria
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Martina Calcio

(Away)
04 Oct
Martina Calcio
1 : 0
Francavilla
27 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 3
Martina Calcio
20 Sept
Martina Calcio
1 : 2
Virtus Francavilla
16 Sept
Real Normanna
1 : 2
Martina Calcio
13 Sept
Martina Calcio
2 : 0
Real Forio 2014
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Casarano 34 21 11 2 72:30 74
2 Nocerina 34 20 10 4 64:27 70
3 Martina Calcio 34 17 11 6 48:28 62
4 Fidelis Andria 34 16 9 9 41:29 57
5 Citta di Fasano 34 13 11 10 45:32 50
6 Matera 34 12 13 9 51:47 49
7 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 11 11 41:34 47
8 A.C.D. Nardo 34 13 8 13 47:45 47
9 Ischia 34 11 12 11 39:45 45
10 Palmese 1914 34 10 12 12 41:45 42
11 Gravina 34 11 9 14 43:46 42
12 Francavilla 34 11 8 15 28:34 41
13 Acerrana 34 11 8 15 37:50 41
14 ASD Ugento 34 10 7 17 33:51 37
15 Manfredonia 34 8 11 15 33:51 35
16 Brindisi 34 9 14 11 44:43 27
17 Angri 34 6 8 20 35:69 26
18 Costa Amalfi 34 3 11 20 26:62 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Out)