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Brindisi vs Virtus Francavilla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 Franco Fanuzzi, Brindisi
Brindisi Logo

Brindisi

1 - 1
FT
Virtus Francavilla Logo

Virtus Francavilla

Our Tip

Match Events

86' Event
Rajkovic M.
90' Event
Sosa F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Brindisi
15%
Draws
49%
Virtus Francavilla
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Virtus Francavilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Virtus Francavilla have won more games recently than Brindisi.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Brindisi taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Brindisi Clean Sheet 20%
Virtus Francavilla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brindisi Virtus Francavilla
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 15
Draws 9 9
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.59 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Virtus Francavilla vs Brindisi
2:1
Mar 2, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Brindisi vs Virtus Francavilla
1:1
Oct 27, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Virtus Francavilla vs Brindisi
1:1
Mar 30, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Brindisi vs Virtus Francavilla
2:0
Nov 27, 2023 Serie C - Group C
Virtus Francavilla vs Brindisi
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brindisi Compare

Top Goalscorer Rajkovic M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Virtus Francavilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Sosa F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brindisi 36 / 100
Virtus Francavilla 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brindisi Virtus Francavilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brindisi's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Virtus Francavilla conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Brindisi went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Brindisi VS Virtus Francavilla
1.14 Goals Scored 1.25
1.14 Goals Conceded 1.75
57% Over 1.5 75%
57% Over 2.5 63%
14% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Brindisi

(Home)
04 Oct
Brindisi
3 : 0
Real Normanna
27 Sept
Francavilla
0 : 1
Brindisi
20 Sept
Brindisi
1 : 2
Turris
16 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 1
Brindisi
12 Sept
Brindisi
1 : 0
Fidelis Andria
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Virtus Francavilla

(Away)
07 Oct
Virtus Francavilla
3 : 0
Gravina
04 Oct
Gravina
4 : 2
Virtus Francavilla
27 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 1
San Felice Gladiator
20 Sept
Martina Calcio
1 : 2
Virtus Francavilla
16 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 1
Brindisi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Casarano 34 21 11 2 72:30 74
2 Nocerina 34 20 10 4 64:27 70
3 Martina Calcio 34 17 11 6 48:28 62
4 Fidelis Andria 34 16 9 9 41:29 57
5 Citta di Fasano 34 13 11 10 45:32 50
6 Matera 34 12 13 9 51:47 49
7 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 11 11 41:34 47
8 A.C.D. Nardo 34 13 8 13 47:45 47
9 Ischia 34 11 12 11 39:45 45
10 Palmese 1914 34 10 12 12 41:45 42
11 Gravina 34 11 9 14 43:46 42
12 Francavilla 34 11 8 15 28:34 41
13 Acerrana 34 11 8 15 37:50 41
14 ASD Ugento 34 10 7 17 33:51 37
15 Manfredonia 34 8 11 15 33:51 35
16 Brindisi 34 9 14 11 44:43 27
17 Angri 34 6 8 20 35:69 26
18 Costa Amalfi 34 3 11 20 26:62 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Out)