Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Brindisi vs Virtus Matino

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Spinelli M.

AI Match Summary

Brindisi in this Serie D - Group H 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Brindisi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Brindisi
15%
Draws
42%
Virtus Matino
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brindisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Brindisi have won more games recently than Virtus Matino.
  • Brindisi are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Brindisi Clean Sheet 68%
Virtus Matino Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brindisi Virtus Matino
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 6
Draws 9 4
Losses 10 20
Goals Scored 1.58 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Virtus Matino vs Brindisi
3:4
Jan 23, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Brindisi vs Virtus Matino
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brindisi Compare

Top Goalscorer Spinelli M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Virtus Matino Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brindisi 59 / 100
Virtus Matino 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brindisi Virtus Matino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brindisi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Virtus Matino's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Brindisi scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Away concern: Virtus Matino has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Brindisi VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Brindisi

(Home)
27 Sept
Francavilla
0 : 1
Brindisi
20 Sept
Brindisi
1 : 2
Turris
16 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 1
Brindisi
12 Sept
Brindisi
1 : 0
Fidelis Andria
06 Sept
Real Forio 2014
4 : 1
Brindisi
Page 1 of 7

Virtus Matino

(Away)
22 May
Virtus Matino
3 : 4
Brindisi
15 May
Rotonda
2 : 0
Virtus Matino
08 May
Virtus Matino
1 : 5
Bitonto
01 May
Francavilla
2 : 3
Virtus Matino
24 Apr
Virtus Matino
2 : 1
Nocerina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Audace Cerignola 38 26 10 2 83:27 88
2 Francavilla 38 22 5 11 62:44 71
3 Bitonto 38 19 8 11 56:40 65
4 Citta di Fasano 38 18 8 12 63:50 62
5 Nocerina 38 17 7 14 55:48 58
6 Gravina 38 16 8 14 51:49 56
7 Casertana 38 15 10 13 56:52 55
8 Sorrento 38 14 10 14 41:50 52
9 SS Nola 1925 38 14 9 15 50:58 51
10 Brindisi 38 14 7 17 42:55 49
11 Molfetta Calcio 38 11 15 12 48:45 48
12 Mariglianese 38 13 8 17 43:46 47
13 Casarano 38 12 11 15 37:49 47
14 Altamura 38 12 11 15 48:45 47
15 A.C.D. Nardo 38 12 9 17 59:67 45
16 Lavello 38 12 9 17 49:56 45
17 Rotonda 38 14 8 16 39:46 42
18 San Giorgio 38 9 14 15 30:44 41
19 Bisceglie 38 8 15 15 32:47 39
20 Virtus Matino 38 8 6 24 36:62 30
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2021/2022 (Play Out)