Sport Picks
Brisbane City vs Eastern Suburbs
Australia
NPL Queensland Spencer Park, Brisbane 
Match Events
21'
21'
Pengelly A.
53'
53'
Pengelly A.
77'
77'
Gordon-Clement E.
AI Match Summary
Eastern Suburbs in this NPL Queensland matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Eastern Suburbs.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
62%
30%
8%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Brisbane City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
62%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Brisbane City lately — more wins on the board than Eastern Suburbs.
- 62% — that's where the model lands on Brisbane City taking it.
- Regular NPL Queensland form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Brisbane City Clean Sheet 13%
Eastern Suburbs Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Brisbane City | Eastern Suburbs |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 2 |
| Losses | 9 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 2.17 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.1 | 1.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 20, 2026 NPL Queensland
Eastern Suburbs vs Brisbane City
3:1
Mar 7, 2026 NPL Queensland
Brisbane City vs Eastern Suburbs
0:4
Jun 7, 2025 NPL Queensland
Eastern Suburbs vs Brisbane City
2:5
Mar 2, 2025 NPL Queensland
Brisbane City vs Eastern Suburbs
2:4
Jul 21, 2023 NPL Queensland
Eastern Suburbs vs Brisbane City
0:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Brisbane City Compare
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Eastern Suburbs Compare
Top Goalscorer Pengelly A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Gordon-Clement E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Brisbane City 84 / 100
Eastern Suburbs 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Brisbane City Eastern Suburbs
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Brisbane City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Brisbane City's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Defensive concern: Eastern Suburbs conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Brisbane City stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Brisbane City VS Eastern Suburbs
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Brisbane City
(Home) 14 Aug
Peninsula
2 : 2 Brisbane City
08 Aug
Brisbane City
2 : 0 Gold Coast Utd
31 Jul
Wynnum Wolves
5 : 2 Brisbane City
18 Jul
Rochedale
2 : 3 Brisbane City
12 Jul
Gold Coast Knights SC
0 : 0 Brisbane City
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Brisbane City
2 : 0 Gold Coast Utd
05 Jul
Brisbane City
1 : 1 Brisbane Roar U23
06 Jun
Brisbane City
0 : 4 Queensland Lions
08 May
Brisbane City
1 : 4 Peninsula
26 Apr
Brisbane City
3 : 0 Wynnum Wolves
Page 1 of 4
Eastern Suburbs
(Away) 14 Aug
Gold Coast Utd
2 : 0 Eastern Suburbs
08 Aug
Eastern Suburbs
0 : 0 Wynnum Wolves
31 Jul
Rochedale
2 : 1 Eastern Suburbs
18 Jul
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 4 Magic United TFA FC
12 Jul
Queensland Lions
1 : 0 Eastern Suburbs
Page 1 of 6
14 Aug
Gold Coast Utd
2 : 0 Eastern Suburbs
31 Jul
Rochedale
2 : 1 Eastern Suburbs
12 Jul
Queensland Lions
1 : 0 Eastern Suburbs
23 Jun
Gold Coast Knights SC
4 : 1 Eastern Suburbs
16 Jun
Wynnum Wolves
1 : 2 Eastern Suburbs
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Queensland Lions | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 57:22 | 53 |
| 2 | Peninsula | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 49:27 | 45 |
| 3 | Moreton City Excelsior | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 51:35 | 39 |
| 4 | Gold Coast Knights SC | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 46:32 | 38 |
| 5 | Brisbane City | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 47:48 | 34 |
| 6 | Wynnum Wolves | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 36:40 | 33 |
| 7 | Eastern Suburbs | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 34:35 | 29 |
| 8 | Olympic FC | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 39:43 | 26 |
| 9 | Magic United TFA FC | 22 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 33:59 | 22 |
| 10 | Rochedale | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 34:52 | 21 |
| 11 | Gold Coast Utd | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 26:39 | 20 |
| 12 | Brisbane Roar U23 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 32:52 | 16 |
Promotion - NPL Queensland (Play Offs)
Relegation - Queensland Premier League (Main)
