Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Brisbane City vs Peninsula

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland Spencer Park, Brisbane
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Sehovic A.
42' Event
McGowan M.
70' Event
Hitchcock J.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Queensland game between Brisbane City and Peninsula finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Peninsula.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Brisbane City
35%
Draws
25%
Peninsula
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Brisbane City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Peninsula carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Brisbane City taking it.
  • Regular NPL Queensland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Brisbane City Clean Sheet 12%
Peninsula Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brisbane City Peninsula
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 14 17
Draws 7 7
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 2.17 2
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 NPL Queensland
Peninsula vs Brisbane City
2:2
May 8, 2026 NPL Queensland
Brisbane City vs Peninsula
1:4
Aug 15, 2025 NPL Queensland
Peninsula vs Brisbane City
1:0
May 3, 2025 NPL Queensland
Brisbane City vs Peninsula
2:1
Aug 4, 2024 NPL Queensland
Peninsula vs Brisbane City
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brisbane City Compare

Top Goalscorer Sehovic A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Peninsula Compare

Top Goalscorer McGowan M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hitchcock J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brisbane City 56 / 100
Peninsula 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brisbane City Peninsula

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brisbane City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Brisbane City scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Peninsula let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Brisbane City remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Brisbane City VS Peninsula
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Brisbane City

(Home)
14 Aug
Peninsula
2 : 2
Brisbane City
08 Aug
Brisbane City
2 : 0
Gold Coast Utd
31 Jul
Wynnum Wolves
5 : 2
Brisbane City
18 Jul
Rochedale
2 : 3
Brisbane City
12 Jul
Gold Coast Knights SC
0 : 0
Brisbane City
Page 1 of 6

Peninsula

(Away)
12 Sept
Queensland Lions
1 : 0
Peninsula
05 Sept
Peninsula
3 : 2
Moreton City Excelsior
30 Aug
Queensland Lions
4 : 1
Peninsula
14 Aug
Peninsula
2 : 2
Brisbane City
08 Aug
Gold Coast Knights SC
2 : 2
Peninsula
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Queensland Lions 22 17 2 3 57:22 53
2 Peninsula 22 13 6 3 49:27 45
3 Moreton City Excelsior 22 12 3 7 51:35 39
4 Gold Coast Knights SC 22 11 5 6 46:32 38
5 Brisbane City 22 9 7 6 47:48 34
6 Wynnum Wolves 22 9 6 7 36:40 33
7 Eastern Suburbs 22 9 2 11 34:35 29
8 Olympic FC 22 8 2 12 39:43 26
9 Magic United TFA FC 22 7 1 14 33:59 22
10 Rochedale 22 6 3 13 34:52 21
11 Gold Coast Utd 22 6 2 14 26:39 20
12 Brisbane Roar U23 22 5 1 16 32:52 16
Promotion - NPL Queensland (Play Offs)
Relegation - Queensland Premier League (Main)