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Brisbane Roar U21 vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Nezval M.
Assist: Worthington M.
80'
Robertson D.
80'
Robertson D.

AI Match Summary

Brisbane Roar U21 in this NPL Queensland 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Brisbane Roar U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Brisbane Roar U21
17%
Draws
70%
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Sunshine Coast Wanderers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Brisbane Roar U21 lately — more wins on the board than Sunshine Coast Wanderers.
  • Sunshine Coast Wanderers are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Brisbane Roar U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Sunshine Coast Wanderers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brisbane Roar U21 Sunshine Coast Wanderers
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 8
Draws 4 7
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 0 1.13
Goals Conceded 0 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2023 NPL Queensland
Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Brisbane Roar U21
2:2
May 21, 2023 NPL Queensland
Brisbane Roar U21 vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers
2:1
Aug 7, 2022 NPL Queensland
Brisbane Roar U21 vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers
4:2
May 8, 2022 NPL Queensland
Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Brisbane Roar U21
2:2
Jul 28, 2021 NPL Queensland
Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Brisbane Roar U21
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brisbane Roar U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Dimarco Joshua
1 Goals
Assists Leader Millard T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sunshine Coast Wanderers Compare

Top Goalscorer Nezval M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brisbane Roar U21 16 / 100
Sunshine Coast Wanderers 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brisbane Roar U21 Sunshine Coast Wanderers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SUN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sunshine Coast Wanderers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Brisbane Roar U21 found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Brisbane Roar U21 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sunshine Coast Wanderers
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gold Coast Knights SC22146245:2148
2Moreton Bay Utd22115645:2738
3Gold Coast Utd22106627:2336
4Brisbane City22105746:3035
5Queensland Lions22810437:2934
6Peninsula2297634:3034
7Rochedale22931033:3130
8Sunshine Coast Wanderers2285926:3429
9Brisbane Roar U2122831129:3727
10Redlands22751032:3326
11Olympic FC22541328:3919
12Eastern Suburbs22231722:709