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Brisbane Roar U23 vs Gold Coast Knights SC

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland 2025 AJ Kelly Park
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Match Events

18' Event
Durrington J.
70'
Plusnin G.
89' Event
Kaneko T.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Queensland 2025 game between Brisbane Roar U23 and Gold Coast Knights SC finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Brisbane Roar U23
39%
Draws
31%
Gold Coast Knights SC
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Gold Coast Knights SC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Brisbane Roar U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Gold Coast Knights SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brisbane Roar U23 Gold Coast Knights SC
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 7 17
Draws 5 5
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.38 2.38
Goals Conceded 2.88 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast Knights SC vs Brisbane Roar U23
3:2
Jul 19, 2025 NPL Queensland
Brisbane Roar U23 vs Gold Coast Knights SC
1:1
Jul 9, 2025 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast Knights SC vs Brisbane Roar U23
0:1
Jul 27, 2024 NPL Queensland
Brisbane Roar U23 vs Gold Coast Knights SC
0:1
Apr 5, 2024 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast Knights SC vs Brisbane Roar U23
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brisbane Roar U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Durrington J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Gold Coast Knights SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaneko T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brisbane Roar U23 29 / 100
Gold Coast Knights SC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brisbane Roar U23 Gold Coast Knights SC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brisbane Roar U23 scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Gold Coast Knights SC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Brisbane Roar U23 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Brisbane Roar U23 VS Gold Coast Knights SC
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Moreton City Excelsior22145348:2347
2Queensland Lions22133648:2942
3Peninsula22116545:2139
4Eastern Suburbs22125551:3638
5Gold Coast Knights SC22114729:2637
6Olympic FC22931029:2630
7Brisbane City22931043:4230
8Wynnum Wolves2276941:4027
9Gold Coast Utd22831125:4527
10Brisbane Roar U2322641229:3522
11St. George Willawong22471127:4819
12Sunshine Coast Wanderers22231720:649