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Brisbane Strikers vs Caboolture

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League Perry Park
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AI Match Summary

Brisbane Strikers play Caboolture in the Queensland Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Brisbane Strikers averaged 2.1 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. Caboolture averaged 1.87 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. In past meetings, Brisbane Strikers won 4, Caboolture won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 19, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.31 for Brisbane Strikers and 1.63 for Caboolture. This points to a Brisbane Strikers double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Brisbane Strikers
15%
Draws
33%
Caboolture
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brisbane Strikers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Brisbane Strikers picked up more points recently compared to Caboolture.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.31 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Brisbane Strikers Clean Sheet 14%
Caboolture Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brisbane Strikers Caboolture
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 17 13
Draws 6 4
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 2.1 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.03 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Caboolture vs Brisbane Strikers
1:2
Mar 24, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Brisbane Strikers vs Caboolture
2:0
Aug 24, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Caboolture vs Brisbane Strikers
0:3
May 25, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Brisbane Strikers vs Caboolture
1:2
Aug 10, 2024 Queensland Premier League
Caboolture vs Brisbane Strikers
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brisbane Strikers Compare

Top Goalscorer Adoro O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thurtell M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Caboolture Compare

Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brisbane Strikers 50 / 100
Caboolture 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brisbane Strikers Caboolture

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Brisbane Strikers or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18%
2.27
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.49
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Brisbane Strikers attacking → ← attacking Caboolture

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brisbane Strikers scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Caboolture let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Brisbane Strikers went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Caboolture lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

57 Points in last 5 43
2.88 Goals expected (xG) 2.38
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Broadbeach Utd.17143046:1545
2Brisbane Strikers17133142:1442
3Sunshine Coast Wanderers1785436:2229
4Ipswich1784527:2428
5Caboolture1782734:3026
6Robina City1774628:2025
7Redlands1773734:3124
8Holland Park Hawks1873829:3324
9Logan Lightning1762930:3320
10North Star18331216:3712
11St. George Willawong17311310:3910
12Capalaba FC17211416:507