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Bristol City U21 vs Exeter U21

England England

Premier League Cup 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Cox S.
Assist: Richards J.
33' Event
Dean T.
Assist: Cox S.
36'

AI Match Summary

Exeter U21 in this Premier League Cup 2024/2025 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Bristol City U21
30%
Draws
6%
Exeter U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bristol City U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bristol City U21 lately — more wins on the board than Exeter U21.
  • Win probability leans Bristol City U21's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Bristol City U21 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Exeter U21, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Bristol City U21 Clean Sheet 19%
Exeter U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bristol City U21 Exeter U21
Matches Played 33 14
Wins 13 7
Draws 8 2
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.88 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.91 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2025 Premier League Cup
Exeter U21 vs Bristol City U21
2:2
Nov 11, 2024 Premier League Cup
Bristol City U21 vs Exeter U21
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bristol City U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Exeter U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Cox S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dean T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bristol City U21 85 / 100
Exeter U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bristol City U21 Exeter U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bristol City U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bristol City U21 found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (33 games).

Recent resilience: Bristol City U21 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Exeter U21 conceded in 64% of 14 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Bristol City U21 VS Exeter U21
1.88 Goals Scored 0.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bristol City U21

(Home)
22 Sept
Bristol City U21
4 : 1
Hull City U21
15 Sept
Peterborough U21
3 : 3
Bristol City U21
07 Sept
Reading U21
1 : 2
Bristol City U21
01 Sept
Bristol City U21
3 : 1
Sheffield Utd U21
22 Aug
Sheffield Wed U21
1 : 1
Bristol City U21
Page 1 of 7

Exeter U21

(Away)
28 Sept
Exeter U21
1 : 3
Norwich U21
16 Dec
Exeter U21
1 : 2
West Brom U21
03 Dec
Luton U21
2 : 1
Exeter U21
24 Nov
Brentford U21
3 : 0
Exeter U21
15 Oct
West Brom U21
0 : 0
Exeter U21
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Exeter U21 6 5 1 0 14:5 16
2 Bromley U21 6 3 0 3 10:11 9
3 Bristol City U21 6 1 3 2 7:9 6
4 Norwich U21 6 0 2 4 6:12 2
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nottingham U21 6 4 1 1 11:4 13
2 Leicester U21 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
3 Hull City U21 6 2 0 4 7:9 6
4 Coventry U21 6 1 2 3 4:11 5
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Brom U21 6 2 3 1 12:9 9
2 Southampton U21 6 2 3 1 12:10 9
3 Swansea U21 6 2 2 2 14:9 8
4 Fleetwood Town U21 6 2 0 4 8:18 6
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheffield Utd U21 6 5 0 1 17:7 15
2 Sunderland U21 6 3 1 2 15:7 10
3 Wolves U21 6 2 1 3 8:9 7
4 Huddersfield U21 6 1 0 5 7:24 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 QPR U21 6 3 1 2 12:5 10
2 Blackburn U21 6 2 3 1 10:9 9
3 Colchester U21 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
4 Preston U21 6 1 2 3 9:17 5
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cardiff U21 6 3 2 1 12:9 11
2 Ipswich U21 6 2 3 1 11:9 9
3 Everton U21 6 1 3 2 9:10 6
4 Watford U21 6 2 0 4 7:11 6
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burnley U21 6 5 1 0 18:3 16
2 Luton U21 6 3 1 2 10:13 10
3 Brighton U21 6 2 1 3 8:9 7
4 Reading U21 6 0 1 5 7:18 1
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Charlton U21 6 4 2 0 17:6 14
2 Stockport U21 6 3 0 3 15:15 9
3 Leeds U21 6 2 1 3 11:12 7
4 Birmingham U21 6 1 1 4 8:18 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelsea U21 6 4 1 1 19:12 13
2 Brentford U21 6 3 1 2 14:12 10
3 Derby U21 6 3 0 3 12:12 9
4 Bournemouth U21 6 1 0 5 7:16 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams