Sport Picks
Bristol City vs Wrexham
England
Championship 2025/2026 Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol 
Match Events
34'
34'
Rathbone O.
40'
40'
Rathbone O.
44'
44'
Neto Borges
AI Match Summary
The Championship 2025/2026 game between Bristol City and Wrexham finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bristol City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Wrexham come out ahead of Bristol City on wins alone.
- Bristol City are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Bristol City Clean Sheet 68%
Wrexham Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bristol City | Wrexham |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 14 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.16 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 17, 2026 Championship
Bristol City vs Wrexham
2:2
Nov 26, 2025 Championship
Wrexham vs Bristol City
2:0
Apr 16, 2005 League One
Bristol City vs Wrexham
1:0
Nov 20, 2004 League One
Wrexham vs Bristol City
1:3
Feb 21, 2004 League One
Bristol City vs Wrexham
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bristol City Compare
Top Goalscorer Armstrong S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bird M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Wrexham Compare
Top Goalscorer Rathbone O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bristol City 68 / 100
Wrexham 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bristol City Wrexham
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bristol City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bristol City scored in 61% of their last 31 games.
Wrexham has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Bristol City remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Bristol City VS Wrexham
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Bristol City
(Home) 15 Sept
Bristol City
0 : 1 Lincoln City
12 Sept
Southampton
4 : 1 Bristol City
05 Sept
Burnley
1 : 2 Bristol City
01 Sept
Preston
1 : 3 Bristol City
29 Aug
Bristol City
2 : 1 Portsmouth
Page 1 of 7
15 Sept
Bristol City
0 : 1 Lincoln City
29 Aug
Bristol City
2 : 1 Portsmouth
15 Aug
Bristol City
0 : 2 Millwall
06 Aug
Bristol City
0 : 1 Walsall
29 Jul
Bristol City
4 : 1 Newcastle Utd
Page 1 of 3
Wrexham
(Away) 11 Sept
West Ham
6 : 0 Wrexham
08 Sept
Wrexham
1 : 1 Burnley
05 Sept
Swansea
0 : 0 Wrexham
02 Sept
Millwall
0 : 3 Wrexham
28 Aug
Wrexham
1 : 2 Birmingham
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
West Ham
6 : 0 Wrexham
05 Sept
Swansea
0 : 0 Wrexham
02 Sept
Millwall
0 : 3 Wrexham
17 Aug
Cardiff
1 : 1 Wrexham
07 Aug
Middlesbrough
1 : 0 Wrexham
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97:45 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80:47 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64:49 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82:56 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72:47 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70:66 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69:65 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67:59 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63:56 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57:56 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57:59 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59:59 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66:66 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55:62 | 60 |
| 15 | QPR | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61:73 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53:65 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51:56 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49:64 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44:58 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42:56 | 52 |
| 21 | West Brom | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48:58 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45:59 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58:68 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29:89 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Main)
