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Bristol Manor Farm vs Havant & Waterlooville

England England

FA Trophy 2024/2025
Sat, Oct 26, 2024
1 - 2
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bristol Manor Farm play Havant & Waterlooville in the FA Trophy 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Bristol Manor Farm averaged 1.73 goals scored and 2.23 conceded. Havant & Waterlooville averaged 1.97 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. In past meetings, Bristol Manor Farm won 0, Havant & Waterlooville won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 26, 2024 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Bristol Manor Farm and 2.31 for Havant & Waterlooville. This points to a Havant & Waterlooville double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Bristol Manor Farm
15%
Draws
48%
Havant & Waterlooville
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Havant & Waterlooville

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Bristol Manor Farm picked up more points recently compared to Havant & Waterlooville.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 2.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Bristol Manor Farm Clean Sheet 10%
Havant & Waterlooville Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bristol Manor Farm Havant & Waterlooville
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 15
Draws 1 5
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.73 1.97
Goals Conceded 2.23 1.52
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2024 FA Trophy
Bristol Manor Farm vs Havant & Waterlooville
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bristol Manor Farm Compare

Top Goalscorer Britton L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Havant & Waterlooville Compare

Top Goalscorer Seager R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bristol Manor Farm 35 / 100
Havant & Waterlooville 45 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bristol Manor Farm Havant & Waterlooville

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Havant & Waterlooville or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.49
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bristol Manor Farm attacking → ← attacking Havant & Waterlooville

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bristol Manor Farm scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Havant & Waterlooville let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Bristol Manor Farm went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Havant & Waterlooville lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 50
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
3.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38