Sport Picks
Bristol Rovers vs Newport
England
League Two Memorial Stadium, Bristol 
Match Events
1'
1'
Biggins H.
Assist: Doidge C.
8'
8'
Mola C.
14'
14'
Evans S.
AI Match Summary
Bristol Rovers in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 5-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bristol Rovers.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bristol Rovers
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Bristol Rovers lately — more wins on the board than Newport.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Bristol Rovers have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Bristol Rovers Clean Sheet 15%
Newport Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bristol Rovers | Newport |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 11 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 7 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.78 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.11 | 1.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 League Two
Bristol Rovers vs Newport
5:3
Jan 31, 2026 League Two
Bristol Rovers vs Newport
3:0
Sep 6, 2025 League Two
Newport vs Bristol Rovers
2:3
Nov 14, 2023 EFL Trophy
Newport vs Bristol Rovers
0:1
Mar 5, 2022 League Two
Newport vs Bristol Rovers
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bristol Rovers Compare
Top Goalscorer Cavegn F.
2 Goals Assists Leader Purrington B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Newport Compare
Top Goalscorer Biggins H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gwengwe S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bristol Rovers 35 / 100
Newport 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bristol Rovers Newport
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Newport Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Bristol Rovers scored in 85% of their last 27 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.
Newport's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.
Bristol Rovers has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Bristol Rovers VS Newport
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Bristol Rovers
(Home) 26 Sept
Bristol Rovers
1 : 0 Exeter
19 Sept
Gillingham
3 : 0 Bristol Rovers
12 Sept
Grimsby
2 : 0 Bristol Rovers
05 Sept
Bristol Rovers
1 : 0 Rotherham
01 Sept
Bristol Rovers
2 : 0 Colchester
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Bristol Rovers
1 : 0 Exeter
05 Sept
Bristol Rovers
1 : 0 Rotherham
01 Sept
Bristol Rovers
2 : 0 Colchester
25 Aug
Bristol Rovers
2 : 3 Chelsea U21
22 Aug
Bristol Rovers
5 : 3 Newport
Page 1 of 3
Newport
(Away) 26 Sept
Newport
2 : 1 Grimsby
22 Sept
Swindon
0 : 2 Newport
19 Sept
Accrington
0 : 0 Newport
12 Sept
Newport
1 : 1 Fleetwood Town
05 Sept
Northampton
1 : 0 Newport
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Swindon
0 : 2 Newport
19 Sept
Accrington
0 : 0 Newport
05 Sept
Northampton
1 : 0 Newport
01 Sept
Salford
2 : 1 Newport
22 Aug
Bristol Rovers
5 : 3 Newport
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barnet | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17:10 | 15 |
| 2 | Cheltenham | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:12 | 15 |
| 3 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 13:11 | 15 |
| 4 | York City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | 14 |
| 5 | Walsall | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11:5 | 14 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12:8 | 13 |
| 7 | Salford | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 8 | Gillingham | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 12 |
| 9 | Crewe | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 8:6 | 12 |
| 10 | Tranmere | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 10:8 | 11 |
| 11 | Chesterfield | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 12 | Swindon | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | 11 |
| 13 | Rotherham | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11:11 | 10 |
| 14 | Fleetwood Town | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:9 | 10 |
| 15 | Colchester | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:12 | 10 |
| 16 | Rochdale | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | 10 |
| 17 | Newport | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 9 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:13 | 8 |
| 19 | Accrington | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11:14 | 7 |
| 20 | Oldham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:13 | 7 |
| 21 | Exeter | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4:6 | 6 |
| 22 | Northampton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3:6 | 6 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | 5 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | 4 |
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
