Sport Picks

England

EFL Trophy 2025/2026 Memorial Stadium

Bristol Rovers

1 - 0

Plymouth

Our Tip

Match Events

Szucs K.

26'

Ross M.

30'

Sub

Negru S. In: Cavegn F.

Out: Negru S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The EFL Trophy 2025/2026 game between Bristol Rovers and Plymouth finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bristol Rovers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Bristol Rovers

30%

Draws

34%

Plymouth

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bristol Rovers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Bristol Rovers's 2.38 goals per match outpaces what Plymouth have produced (2.25).
Bristol Rovers are the model's pick here, at 36%.
Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%

Bristol Rovers Clean Sheet 15%

Plymouth Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Bristol Rovers	Plymouth
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	17	17
Draws	2	6
Losses	9	6
Goals Scored	2.38	2.25
Goals Conceded	0.88	1
Expected Goals (xG)	2.38	2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 13, 2026 EFL Trophy

Bristol Rovers vs Plymouth

Possession: 55% - 47% Cards: 3 - 3

3:4

Nov 11, 2025 EFL Trophy

Bristol Rovers vs Plymouth

Possession: 54% - 55% Cards: 3 - 0

1:0

Jul 30, 2024 Club Friendly

Bristol Rovers vs Plymouth

Possession: 48% - 46% Cards: 3 - 2

2:1

Apr 25, 2023 League One

Plymouth vs Bristol Rovers

Possession: 42% - 55% Cards: 1 - 3

2:0

Jan 10, 2023 EFL Trophy

Bristol Rovers vs Plymouth

Possession: 53% - 48% Cards: 3 - 1

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bristol Rovers Compare

Top Goalscorer Conteh K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.83

Avg xA / game 1.19

Plymouth Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05

Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bristol Rovers 35 / 100

Plymouth 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Bristol Rovers Plymouth

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bristol Rovers scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Recent resilience: Bristol Rovers stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Plymouth has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Bristol Rovers VS Plymouth

2.38 Goals Scored 2.25

0.88 Goals Conceded 1

88% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 75%

50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Salford	3	3	0	9:3	9
2	Stockport County	3	2	1	7:7	5
3	Wolves U21	3	1	2	7:10	3
4	Wigan	3	0	3	2:5	1

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Tranmere	3	3	0	6:4	8
2	Blackpool	3	2	1	8:3	6
3	Barrow	3	1	2	3:7	3
4	Nottingham U21	3	0	3	3:6	1

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Doncaster	3	3	0	8:2	9
2	Bradford City	3	2	1	8:5	6
3	Grimsby	3	1	2	6:8	3
4	Everton U21	3	0	3	5:12	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Lincoln City	3	3	0	8:0	9
2	Barnsley	3	1	2	6:6	3
3	Manchester United U21	3	1	2	4:8	3
4	Notts County	3	1	2	2:6	3

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Bolton	3	3	0	10:2	9
2	Rotherham	3	2	1	7:5	6
3	Manchester City U21	3	1	2	7:8	3
4	Oldham	3	0	3	5:14	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Harrogate	3	3	0	5:1	9
2	Huddersfield	3	2	1	9:4	6
3	Newcastle Utd U21	3	1	2	5:11	2
4	Mansfield	3	0	3	3:6	1

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Port Vale	3	2	1	9:4	7
2	Fleetwood Town	3	3	0	9:5	7
3	Accrington	3	1	2	5:6	4
4	Leeds U21	3	0	3	3:11	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Crewe	3	3	0	12:2	9
2	Chesterfield	3	1	2	4:9	4
3	Burton	3	1	2	3:4	3
4	Liverpool U21	3	1	2	2:6	2

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Cardiff	3	2	1	4:2	6
2	Exeter	3	2	1	5:4	6
3	Newport	3	1	2	2:3	3
4	Arsenal U21	3	1	2	6:8	3

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Bristol Rovers	3	3	0	6:4	8
2	Plymouth	3	2	1	8:3	6
3	Cheltenham	3	1	2	2:5	2
4	Tottenham U21	3	0	3	8:12	2

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Northampton	3	3	0	6:1	9
2	Walsall	3	2	1	3:2	5
3	Shrewsbury	3	1	2	5:6	3
4	Chelsea U21	3	0	3	1:6	1

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Swindon	3	2	1	9:5	6
2	West Ham U21	3	2	1	9:6	6
3	Reading	3	2	1	6:4	6
4	Milton Keynes Dons	3	0	3	1:10	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Stevenage	3	3	0	12:4	9
2	AFC Wimbledon	3	2	1	6:7	6
3	Bromley	3	1	2	5:7	2
4	Crystal Palace U21	3	0	3	6:11	1

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Leyton Orient	3	3	0	6:2	9
2	Peterborough	3	2	1	7:6	6
3	Crawley Town	3	1	2	6:6	3
4	Aston Villa U21	3	0	3	4:9	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Colchester	3	3	0	6:2	9
2	Wycombe	3	2	1	7:3	6
3	Gillingham	3	1	2	5:6	3
4	Fulham U21	3	0	3	2:9	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Luton	3	2	1	8:5	6
2	Cambridge Utd	3	2	1	6:4	6
3	Barnet	3	2	1	5:7	5
4	Brighton U21	3	0	3	2:5	1