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Brito vs Maria de Fonte

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A Parque de Jogos do Brito SC, Guimarães
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Araujo P.
27' Event
Dias M.
60' Event
Araujo J.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A game between Brito and Maria de Fonte finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brito.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Brito
15%
Draws
28%
Maria de Fonte
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brito

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Maria de Fonte haven't matched Brito's recent run of results.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Brito taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Brito have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Brito Clean Sheet 20%
Maria de Fonte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brito Maria de Fonte
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 17 9
Draws 3 3
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.47 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.78
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Brito vs Maria de Fonte
2:1
Aug 31, 2025 Taça de Portugal
Maria de Fonte vs Brito
1:2
Apr 2, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Maria de Fonte vs Brito
2:1
Dec 11, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Brito vs Maria de Fonte
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brito Compare

Top Goalscorer Araujo P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dias M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Maria de Fonte Compare

Top Goalscorer Araujo J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.43

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brito 85 / 100
Maria de Fonte 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brito Maria de Fonte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brito Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maria de Fonte has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Brito's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Maria de Fonte lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Brito VS Maria de Fonte
1.88 Goals Scored 0.57
1 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 57%
50% Over 2.5 43%
38% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Brito

(Home)
20 Sept
Vila Pouca
0 : 5
Brito
13 Sept
Tirsense
2 : 0
Brito
06 Sept
Brito
2 : 1
Maria de Fonte
23 Aug
CDC Montalegre
2 : 0
Brito
16 Aug
Brito
2 : 3
GD Braganca
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Maria de Fonte

(Away)
20 Sept
Paredes
5 : 1
Maria de Fonte
13 Sept
Maria de Fonte
0 : 4
Braga B
06 Sept
Brito
2 : 1
Maria de Fonte
30 Aug
Maria de Fonte
1 : 0
Uniao Nogueirense
23 Aug
Maria de Fonte
0 : 1
Celoricense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GD Braganca 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
2 Tirsense 4 3 0 1 7:2 9
3 Chaves B 4 3 0 1 5:4 9
4 Braga B 4 2 2 0 8:3 8
5 AD Limianos 4 2 2 0 8:5 8
6 Vila Mea 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
7 Celoricense 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
8 CDC Montalegre 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
9 Rebordosa 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
10 Brito 4 1 0 3 4:8 3
11 Ponte da Barca 4 1 0 3 4:8 3
12 Maria de Fonte 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
13 Maia Lidador 4 0 1 3 2:5 1
14 Vinhais 4 0 0 4 1:10 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)