Sport Picks
Briton Ferry vs Afan United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
FAW Welsh Cup Old Road, Briton Ferry 
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 5-0. The second leg ended 5-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
78%
22%
0%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Briton Ferry
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
78%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Briton Ferry come out ahead of Afan United on wins alone.
- Model gives Briton Ferry a 78% chance of winning this.
- Briton Ferry have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Briton Ferry, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Briton Ferry Clean Sheet 18%
Afan United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Briton Ferry | Afan United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 4 |
| Wins | 12 | 0 |
| Draws | 5 | 0 |
| Losses | 11 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 3.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.00 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 16, 2026 FAW Welsh Cup
Briton Ferry vs Afan United
5:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Briton Ferry 85 / 100
Afan United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Briton Ferry Afan United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Briton Ferry Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Afan United conceded in 100% of 4 recent games.
These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.
Briton Ferry's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Recent resilience: Briton Ferry stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Briton Ferry VS Afan United
1 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 5
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%
Recent Form & Match History
Briton Ferry
(Home) 16 Oct
Briton Ferry
5 : 0 Afan United
09 Oct
Briton Ferry
1 : 2 Connahs Q.
03 Oct
Briton Ferry
1 : 0 Colwyn Bay
26 Sept
Holywell Town FC
1 : 1 Briton Ferry
18 Sept
Briton Ferry
1 : 1 Trefelin
Page 1 of 6
16 Oct
Briton Ferry
5 : 0 Afan United
09 Oct
Briton Ferry
1 : 2 Connahs Q.
03 Oct
Briton Ferry
1 : 0 Colwyn Bay
18 Sept
Briton Ferry
1 : 1 Trefelin
04 Sept
Briton Ferry
0 : 2 Airbus UK Broughton FC
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Afan United
(Away) 16 Oct
Briton Ferry
5 : 0 Afan United
20 Sept
Dinas Powys
3 : 1 Afan United
13 Jun
Afan United
0 : 1 Goytre Utd
16 Sept
Rockspur
4 : 2 Afan United
16 Oct
Briton Ferry
5 : 0 Afan United
20 Sept
Dinas Powys
3 : 1 Afan United
16 Sept
Rockspur
4 : 2 Afan United
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Llannefydd 0
Llandudno FC 1
Cefn Albion 2
Felinheli 3
Trefelin 4
Llantwit Major 1
Coedpoeth 4
Guilsfield 3
Flint Town 1
Caernarfon 3
Llay Welfare 3
Holywell Town FC 4
Evans Williams 3
Rockspur 4
Pontarddulais 3
Goytre Utd 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 1
TNS 2
Briton Ferry 5
Afan United 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 4
Ynyshir Albions 0
Penycae FC 1
Dolgellau Athletic 4
Caerau Ely 6
Llanelli 0
Brickfield Rangers 2
Llangefni 0
Afan Lido 2
Penybont 3
Radnor Valley 1
Cardiff Draconians 3
Buckley 2
Colwyn Bay 3
Aberystwyth 5
Prestatyn 1
Llantwit Fardre 1
Baglan Dragons 3
Barry Town 2
Tredegar Town 0
Bala 3
Holyhead 4
Blaen-y-Maes 5
Ely Rangers 2
Llangennech 2
Pontardawe 1
Carmarthen Town 4
Newport City 5
Haverfordwest 4
Cardiff Corries 0
Cwmaman Institute 2
Ammanford Town 4
Newtown 7
Llanuwchllyn 0
Caerphilly 1
Chepstow Town 0
Cambrian United 5
Trethomas Bluebirds 0
Denbigh 0
Bangor 1876 2
Connahs Q. 4
Porthmadog 0
Llysfaen 0
Mochdre Sports 2
1/16-finals
Llandudno FC -
Felinheli -
Trefelin -
Coedpoeth -
Caernarfon -
Holywell Town FC -
Rockspur -
Pontarddulais -
TNS -
Briton Ferry -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Dolgellau Athletic -
Caerau Ely -
Brickfield Rangers -
Penybont -
Cardiff Draconians -
Colwyn Bay -
Aberystwyth -
Baglan Dragons -
Barry Town -
Holyhead -
Blaen-y-Maes -
Llangennech -
Newport City -
Haverfordwest -
Ammanford Town -
Newtown -
Caerphilly -
Cambrian United -
Bangor 1876 -
Connahs Q. -
Mochdre Sports -
1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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